silentstriker said:
Maybe. He hasn't played enough for us to pass a judgement like that. You may be right, but his performance so far means he should at least be persisted with until we know more. I'm not saying he will average Muralis' 22 or Warnes' 25, but he may very well average a Harbhajan-like 29. Which, for the most part, is OK for a spinner, provided he can dominate games in the second innings on certain pitches. He needs to learn the Doosra, and if he does, I think he can be a world-class spinner. He has most of the other tools...but finger spinners need the doosra.
I find it difficult to say much about Monty as I haven't had the chance to watch the man - I can only go by reports by media and here on this forum too.
(Speaking of which, I see Scaly is once again damning with faint praise...)
In regards to spin bowling averages though - an average in the high 20s and early 30s is actually very good for a spinner, not just OK as SilentStriker states. This is even more so for finger spinners - post WW2 most great finger spinners I can think of have had averages in the high 20s - early 30s and strike rates of 75 - 85 or so. As a couple of examples let us look at Lance Gibbs, Bishen Bedi and Prasanna, perhaps the premier WW2 finger spinners.
T Balls Runs Wkts BBi BBm Ave Econ SR 5wi 10wm
Gibbs 79 27115 8989 309 8/38 11/157 29/09 1.98 87.75 18 2
Bedi 67 21364 7637 266 7/98 10/194 28.71 2.14 80.31 14 1
Pras 49 14353 5742 189 8/76 11/140 30.38 2.40 75.94 10 2
These 3 are perhaps the finest finger spinners since WW2 and Bedi along with Underwood are the best left arm finger spinners. Only Deadly and I recall Toey Tayfield bucked the trend and had substantially lower averages though their SR's were still up there.
Deadly 86 21862 7674 297 8/51 13/71 25.83 2.10 73.60 17 6
Tayfield 37 13568 4405 170 9/113 13/165 25.91 1.94 79.81 14 2
As you can see though the averages are in the mid 20s the SR are all up there.
The only exception to these is Jim Laker - though ironically I believe him to be over-rated and not in the same league as Prasanna or for that matter Tayfield. Anyway.
Laker 46 12027 4101 193 10/53 19/90 21.24 2.04 62.31 9 3
Historically though spinners are up there in terms of averages and SR. In this context if Monty ends up averaging 30 - 35 with a SR of 75 - 80 with a good wkts/test ratio he would have done very well indeed.
Looking at spinners overall you realise how exceptional Warne and Murali are for having maintained a combination of high wickets/test, low averages and exceptional SR (below 60 for most of their careers) as opposed to other spin bowlers.
Figures wise Monty has had a very good start to his career and is a throwback to an earlier kind of left arm English offie, certainly not akin to Underwood but more like Rhodes, Blyth and Verity. He doesnt play for Yorkshire does he? lol!
Speaking of Doosra, I dont know if Monty necessarily needs to learn it.
The reason Murali devised the damn thing (and I say damn thing because I am unconvinced of the legitimacy of the delivery - despite my admiration and respect of Murali) was because his big turning offie made it impossible to get LBWs against left hand batsman padding up to him a la Thorpe in 2001. Monty does not have this problem and from all accounts has a truly exceptional arm ball. The doosra is unnecessary.
In the meantime, returing to Monty. It may be too early to tell - after all he is still young and as the old saying goes spinners dont really get 'there' until they are 30. However he does seem to be in the best possible environment for an English spinner for the last 25 years at least. He has everything going his way.
All that remains is to wait and see.