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‘The Warne’ factor

Sunil1z

International Regular
Can someone post few Aussie scorecards when McGrath/ Warne were bowling and Aus had 1st innings deficit of 100+ runs .

I know there wouldn’t be many occasions but still would like to see if they are any .
 

Fuller Pilch

Hall of Fame Member
Can someone post few Aussie scorecards when McGrath/ Warne were bowling and Aus had 1st innings deficit of 100+ runs .

I know there wouldn’t be many occasions but still would like to see if they are any .
NZ had a 200 run lead in Perth 2001 (550 ish to 350 ish). Thanks to dubious umpiring Australia escaped with a test and series draw.
 

the big bambino

Cricketer Of The Year
Again important to note that this is both fast bowling and spin bowling, which have gone in opposite directions in terms of the impact of DRS.
It does show the cumulative changes since the 70s have had a profound impact and possibly more than drs, which is over stated. Independent umpires and a bowler friendly interpretation of what is and isn't a shot being important as well.

Batting in spin friendly conditions has always been difficult and lbws only measure a part of that difficulty. The problems the Australians have in India aren't down to drs but their technical deficiencies which have been chronic for some time now.
 

Molehill

Cricketer Of The Year
Again important to note that this is both fast bowling and spin bowling, which have gone in opposite directions in terms of the impact of DRS.
It's still worth noting that it's not a huge amount. Warne had 140 lbw victims, a 4% increase only gives him another 6. If it's worked the other way for fast bowlers, well how many would Anderson have had in the 90's???
 

Molehill

Cricketer Of The Year
Batting in spin friendly conditions has always been difficult and lbws only measure a part of that difficulty. The problems the Australians have in India aren't down to drs but their technical deficiencies which have been chronic for some time now.
That pretty much sums up all nations not brought up in those conditions. I'm really intrigued as to what the Bazball approach will be next year. Root is the only player we have technically gifted enough to match the Indians. But for the rest, I suspect the strategy will be try and bat for 50 overs and see if we can score 300.
 

Spark

Global Moderator
It's still worth noting that it's not a huge amount. Warne had 140 lbw victims, a 4% increase only gives him another 6. If it's worked the other way for fast bowlers, well how many would Anderson have had in the 90's???
? That's not quite how the maths works.

An increase in 4 points of a proportion would be like going from 20% to 24%, i.e. from 140 LBW victims to more like 180.

It does show the cumulative changes since the 70s have had a profound impact and possibly more than drs, which is over stated. Independent umpires and a bowler friendly interpretation of what is and isn't a shot being important as well.

Batting in spin friendly conditions has always been difficult and lbws only measure a part of that difficulty. The problems the Australians have in India aren't down to drs but their technical deficiencies which have been chronic for some time now.
How does a difference in a number measured in 2008 vs 2020 have anything to do with changes since the 1970s? This is just ignoring the evidence.
 

the big bambino

Cricketer Of The Year
? That's not quite how the maths works.

An increase in 4 points of a proportion would be like going from 20% to 24%, i.e. from 140 LBW victims to more like 180.



How does a difference in a number measured in 2008 vs 2020 have anything to do with changes since the 1970s? This is just ignoring the evidence.
The impact of drs is negative or minimal when you account for your differentiation pace v spin. The trend has been more dramatically set by changes since the 70s rather than your start point, and if the graph is right you should be grateful for the opportunity to modify your perception.
 

Spark

Global Moderator
The impact of drs is negative or minimal when you account for your differentiation pace v spin. The trend has been more dramatically set by changes since the 70s rather than your start point, and if the graph is right you should be grateful for the opportunity to modify your perception.
Why would you do that though? If DRS has had a dramatic impact on spin, but a dramatic but equally opposed impact on pace, then the correct conclusion isn't that it's had no impact. That doesn't make sense, especially when speaking about its impact on playing spin in isolation.
 

the big bambino

Cricketer Of The Year
But I'm not saying that. Dramatic is the difference from 1970, not from the drs. Even allowing for the divergence in pace v spin.
 

Spark

Global Moderator
But I'm not saying that. Dramatic is the difference from 1970, not from the drs. Even allowing for the divergence in pace v spin.
But there is a dramatic difference on spin bowling that started when DRS started. Like, I linked the article, it's not really disputable.
 

Molehill

Cricketer Of The Year
? That's not quite how the maths works.

An increase in 4 points of a proportion would be like going from 20% to 24%, i.e. from 140 LBW victims to more like 180.
But you haven't factored in how many he loses from other means of taking wickets because he's now got them lbw.

Have there been more wickets falling to spin as a result of DRS, or is it just more spin wickets falling to lbw?
 

subshakerz

Hall of Fame Member
The answer: overall, switching Warne with Lyon would still mean Australia were a dominant side. The series they lost they still would have lost, just more badly, and the series they won, they wouldn't have won as convincingly but still won. Lyon and MacGill would have mostly filled the gap of Warne, just not as effectively.

The only exceptions would be SL 2004 and the WC 99 in which Warne's role was decisive for Australia.
 

subshakerz

Hall of Fame Member
Current Australia would benefitted much more with Warne the past decade.

In Australia, Warne would only be slightly more effective than Lyon since pitches were quite flat. Away is different.

They would have never been whitewashed in India, SL and UAE. They would have possibly drawn/won in India in 2017. They would have at least won in England in 2015 or 2019 too.
 

Molehill

Cricketer Of The Year
They would have never been whitewashed in India, SL and UAE. They would have possibly drawn/won in India in 2017. They would have at least won in England in 2015 or 2019 too.
But 2005 wouldn't have been remotely as memorable without him. Probably 3-1 England with Edgbaston seeing a home win by about 200 runs.
 

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