How's the drainage at Adelaide?
Excellent. No worries there.
From NAIPS: not looking great for the morning at least. This forecast is valid until 0000GMT so we'll see whether there's any changes but there's heaps of intermittent shower and cloud activity about. The bolded bit means 30% chance of the stuff following it occurring.
AREA50 (50)
AREA QNH 22/01
AREA 50: SE OF BUNGY/YBOR 1006,
REST 1009
AMEND AREA FORECAST 082140 TO 090800 AREA 50.
AMD OVERVIEW:
SCATTERED RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NE OF A LINE YPLC/YNRC,
CONTRACTING TO NE OF YCEE/YBOR BY 00Z, NE OF YWHA/YLAO BY 03Z AND NE
OF AREA AT 06Z. ISOLATED SHOWERS REMAINDER. BROKEN STRATUS WITH RAIN
AND ABOUT THE RANGES TILL 00Z. SEVERE ICING IN AC/AS IN NE ABOVE
FREEZING LEVEL [REFER SIGMET WHEN CURRENT].
SUBDIVISIONS:
A: NE OF YPLC/YNRC, CONTRACTING TO NE OF YCEE/YBOR AT 00Z, NE OF
YWHA/YLAO AT 03Z AN NE OF AREA AT 06Z.
B: REST
WIND:
2000 5000 7000 10000 14000 18500
250/20 270/25 290/35 290/45 PS02 290/55 MS05 280/60 MS16
AMD CLOUD:
A:
ISOL CB 8000/30000
BKN ST 800/2000 IN RA
BKN ST 1500/3000 ABOUT RANGES TILL 00Z
BKN CU/SC 2000/5000
BKN AC/AS 10000/20000
B:
BKN ST 1500/3000 ABOUT RANGES TILL 00Z
SCT ST 1000/2500 IN SHRA
SCT CU 2500/8000
BKN SC 3500/7000
WEATHER:
A: TSRA, RA.
B: SHRA
VISIBILITY:
A: 4000M IN RA/TSRA
B: 6KM SHRA.
FREEZING LEVEL:
11500FT, LOWERING TO 6000FT S OF BUNGY/YNRC AFTER 04Z.
AMD ICING:
A: SEV IN CB. MOD/SEV IN AC/AS [REFER SIGMET WHEN CURRENT].
B: MOD IN CU/SC ABOVE FZL
TURBULENCE:
A: SEV WITH CB. MOD IN AC.
B: MOD IN CU.
ADELAIDE (YPAD)
TAF AMD YPAD 081839Z 0819/0924
20008KT 9999 LIGHT RAIN SCT010 BKN025 BKN100
FM090000 24012KT 9999 FEW010 SCT020 BKN035
FM090300 24017KT 9999 SCT030 BKN040
FM090900 24013KT 9999 SCT025 SCT040
INTER 0819/0824 5000 MODERATE RAIN BKN010
PROB30 INTER 0819/0824 VRB15G25KT 5000 THUNDERSTORMS WITH MODERATE
RAIN BKN090CB
RMK
T 17 17 17 17 Q 1006 1008 1009 1009
TTF METAR YPAD 082200Z 21010KT 9999 SHOWERS OF LIGHT RAIN FEW010
SCT020 OVC032 17/14
Q1008
RMK RF00.0/001.0
INTER 2200/2400 5000 MODERATE RAIN BKN010
ATIS YPAD A 082213
APCH: EXP INST APCH
RWY: 23,
SFC COND: DAMP
WND: 210/12
VIS: GREATER THAN 10 KM
WX: SH IN AREA,
CLD: SCT010, SCT017, BKN023
TMP: 17.
+ QNH: 1009