anzac said:
1 Fleming
2 Cumming
3 Marshall J
4 Marshall H
5 Astle
6 Vincent
7 Oram
8 McCullum
9 Vettori
10 Franklin
11 Bond
12 Sinclair
13 Styris
14 tba
15 tba
the assumption is that Styris, Oram & Bond are sufficiently recovered from injury to make the squad...........if not then replace Styris with Fulton, and 2 more tba.............
the tba's are because I don't know how long the itinary is as to whether or not I'd take a 2nd specialist 'keeper, as opposed to having part timer options in Vincent & Sinclair.........who also provide opening options so I haven't included Papps (not that I would atm) or How...........
likewise I'm not sure as to how much turn will be on offer for spin so I'm holding 1 berth for a potential 2nd spin option (Wiseman by default atm unfortunately - so it would have to be a spin friendly wicket/s for me to 'sacrifice' a squad berth).............
currently neither Butler, Tuffey nor Mills would make my squad - Butler because he has not shown anything different this season other than his standard back of a length, Tuffey because his action is stuffed as much as he is injured, Mills because he is too one dimensional regarding his 'swing'...........and C Martin is also doubtful.............
I'd prefer to see more of O'Brien b4 committing one way or the other regarding his selection but I'd probably have him penciled in atm.........
I'm also miffed that both Sherlock & Davis have been out for most of the season as I'd want to have one of them in the squad, much like Tait will be for The Ashes..............but I'm not aware of any other young bowling alternatives who have put their hand up as of yet........
so far as other seam options go I'd look at the likes of Adams, Walmsley & Gillespie as other options who have had reasonable domestic records, but I'm looking for attacking seamers with reasonable pace bowling genuine wicket taking deliveries, as opposed to containment bowlers to 'strangle' wickets out..........
finally I'd look to play a 6-4 split with the 11 as 1st pick...............
Thanks, Anzac. A comprehensive opinion as always - rugby gets the
Re:Union TV analysis show and various others over here, but sadly cricket gets nothing remotely like it.
The itinerary isn't out yet AFAIK, but I'd be surprised if Hopkins (or as much as I wouldn't agree with the choice, Papps) was still a 'TBD' rather than pencilled in as a definite traveller, and likewise a second spinner (even on SA wickets, I doubt they'll risk another enforced Trent Bridge situation). It's an interesting point you raise though because if they did deem Vincent or Sinclair as adequate, by coincidence they're probably two hovering right around the 15th/16th cut-line for their batting alone.
Something we're hearing a lot in NZ is, "wait till the 7 or 8 missing players come back" - almost as if seeing our current test side so outclassed by AUS has put a rose-coloured lens on the likes of Papps, Tuffey, Butler etc.
I've heard all of those players referred to as "front-line" or "first-choice" recently - I'd like to know the last time anyone was recalled as a test batsman after averaging 12 or less in a domestic comp!
I think you'll be correct about Tuffey also - he could well be entering the same technical pariah status Sinclair did as a batsman. Perhaps the work he did with R. Hadlee to try and fix his scrambled seam issues started his whole crisis of confidence in a 'paralysis by analysis' fashion, and now he can't even be trusted to be accurate.
Meanwhile Butler should probably have moved past the 'promising' age (it's ironic how overseas critics are often impressed by Butler's action and attitude on their first look at him, yet it's unorthodox young quicks like Malinga and Tait who seem to be surging ahead results-wise.). Despite his tantrum about Bracewell denying him a chance on harder surfaces in AUS, I'd agree that he's no guarantee to make the African squad. At best he'd make my 15 to call his bluff - if he doesn't take wickets in SA, he may finally leave the ego-driven tactics behind.
I see the "Chris Martin's taken 29 SA wickets @ 20" argument doesn't impress you a great deal Anzac, which is fair enough I suppose given he's taken 17 test wickets @ 66 since he last played the Proteas.
I'd probably still take him ahead of O'Brien though, who I think might be even more limited skills-wise. One thing I liked about Martin's performance in Napier was the reverse-swing he started getting away from RH's - something I hadn't seen him do before.