Mr Mxyzptlk said:
My predictions:
* New Zealand declare overnight.
* India bat for two days and get bowled out for 550-600.
* New Zealand bat until tea on day 5 and India bat out to a draw
agreed that would seem the expected thing to do & happen, but I think there is more at stake here than a predictable 'boring' draw.
Fleming always has a game plan and I have a sneaking suspicion (hope) that he will use this opportunity to make a real statement.
Perhaps the pitch may start to do something more later on Days 4 & 5, so why not bat on thru the first session and target 600+. You then have enough runs in the bank to really attack the Indian batsmen on a deteriorating pitch & make them struggle to hold out for the draw.
There is an opportunity to really impose some emphatic dominance over the Indians. As it is they have not had to face this size 1st innings for a long time, but they have enough time to bat for 3 days to vercome this.
You have nothing to loose by ramming it home and seeing how they cope with that sort of follow on pressure at Home for a change, particularly if you can bowl better on 'their' pitch than they can, coupled with a better fielding effort, innovative field placings to further stifle their natural game, and a very shrewd & astute Captain leading a team that is on a high.
An opportunity to emulate something that Australia does fairly well - not ease up when you have the opposition down, but to increase the pressure of your foot on their throat and who knows what may happen.
I think (hope) that there are a few more turns in this match yet!