Surely Richardson, Papps and Vincent will be the only openers in the test squad for England.
The case for McIntosh has really died away, making Vincent look much more assured. His other concern would be if they opt for just Fleming as backup to make room for a middle-order batsman or an extra bowler, but that seems highly unlikely.
My most recent squad (* = a certainty if fit)
*Richardson
*Papps
*Fleming (c)
*Styris
*Astle
*McMillan
Vincent
Fulton
*Oram
*Cairns (vc)
McCullum/Hart
*Vettori
*Tuffey
*Bond
Mason
B. Martin
For once it's very tough to narrow it down to 16, which is great. People will probably scoff at having Papps as the reserve keeper, but I honestly can't narrow it down otherwise.
As things are, I have no Butler, Wiseman, Mills, Sinclair, Marshall, McIntosh or Taylor. Either Hart or McCullum would also miss out.