But would you say he is the next great all-rounder? That's the question...
Probably only a couple of rungs below a 'great' allrounder in terms of pure ability. I mean, no-one saw Colin Miller coming, did they? Next thing you know, the guy who'ḋ bowled medium-pace exclusively for three state sides until he was around 34 was in the Test side as the first-choice off-spinner? You just never know.
That said, I donṫ think Brad Hogg will be a world-beater in the Tests but he'll hardly disgrace himself. If anything, I think he'll do quite well, in fact.
Stats show the general point, without mixing in people's opinions, granted they can be manipulated but they can't lie.
As a professional statistician, I can tell you with certainty that you can never use stats to prove anything in the sense that they donṫ lie but nor do they entirely tell the truth. You have to take them for what they are and that is, a tool to help prove a case but (but not to directly prove anything) and like any tool, they can be misused. Take Rikś comment:
but they don't tell you if the guy played and missed 50 times during a run a ball 100...
Well what if a guy DID play and miss 50 times in a run-a-ball hundred? Would that tell you anything about how well or how badly he played? Would that tell you, for example, that the REASON he played and missed a lot was due to an atrocious pitch?
To use an English example, how about Ian Bothams hundred in 1981 and Headingly; he scored at almost a run-a-ball but a high percentage of his boundaries were slogs or plain egdes. Trust me, Ive seen the footage and read the match reports, yet he hit a lot of boundaries and scored at a VERY quick rate.
And then there was his century a couple of weeks later. People STILL talk about the quality of that one and how he didnṫ play a false shot yet he scored slower. So which one was the better innings? The judgment of that obviously goes beyond statistics.
Craig McDermott said his best Test bowling figures (8-fer) was some of worst ever bowling.
Manoj Prabarkar bowled what I consider the two best spells of bowling Ive ever seen BAR NONE in the 1992 WC in getting only 2/22 off 10 overs in a losing cause. His figures say nothing about how well HE bowled, believe me.
As I said, in extreme cases you can use statistics to infer stuff but they donṫ tell the entire story and should never be used in such a way.
So yeah, stats donṫ lie (descriptive stats, anyway; if you want to get into multi-variate analysis, well thatś a different kettle of fish.....) in the purest sense but in terms of describing a real and tangible event, well they can be USED to lie for sure.