I think the series will be more even than recent results for the two sides would suggest. I have a couple of reasons for saying that, primarily the return to form of Cook, which is vital for England. He's a proper run machine when he gets going, and can bat ages. Root is obviously in fine form as well. Had Voges not debuted so well in the Windies overnight, I would have said it would be even closer: assuming Rogers comes back in, he and Voges provide some much needed experience and cool-headedness in the Aussie batting, far more so than if SMarsh was a fixture.
I don't really have a problem with Australia's bowling at all. I think Lyon is better than the England spinners, and though I respect Anderson and Broad (particularly at home) I think Harris, Hazelwood and Johnson with support from Starc and whoever else can be flown in when required means we are well served for flingers.
The biggest question marks for me remain around our batting in English conditions. Warner is plainly a gun player, but he played very little over there last time through his own stupidity. Watson's gonna Watson and Clarke obviously has his back issues. Ideally, our best available XI would IMO be:
Bull
Buck
TPC
Clarkeh
16AF
Twatto/ MMarsh
Rad
MJ
Rhino
WPNCOS
Haaaaaaaaaaze
That line up has oodles of run scoring potential but is unproven. This isn't like a 93 or 01 side where you could pencil in Taylor, Boonie, the Waughs and AB for bulk runs at some point. I see it more as a side which will need to bat well as a unit. As always, the key to a batting line up is number three. Until Australia gets a consistent number three they will always feel the loss of Ponting, and not just because he was such a great. It's because one fer isn't a big deal, but two fer always is.
It was the same when Boon retired. Although Australia was still the best side in the world, the line up was prone to collapses until Ponting really found his way to consistency at three. I'm hoping TPC will do it. The bloke has become a seriously good test player now and has the game to play well in that position since he's begun leaving the ball so consistently. If you added Amla at three to that Australian side and moved the rest of the batting down a slot to omit either Voges or Watson, how good does it look? A gun number three makes a massive difference.
The really interesting series' for Australia will be after the Ashes when Rogers and presumably Haddin retire. I'd hoped Silk would have had a better summer to warrant inclusion but he didn't so the second opening spot is up for grabs, and SuperNev seems a lock for the keeping job once Haddin goes.