The WRs aren't really too accurate for teams like ours. AXI plainly isn't a very good SOD team, and besides, you're still in with a very good chance. High RRR, but 145-3 ain't bad.
Some nice verbal tennis guys on which team is worse or better!
Here's my take on the Atara/Mooo debate!:
Atara is playing Div 2 T20 and DEV - and Mooo is in Div 3 for T20 and DEV (both OD Div 3 ). Therefore on the surface that is a nod to Atara though of course dig deeper and one team could be about to be relegated and one promoted. However in this case that is not the case though. Of course, excavate further and it can be that one is in a weak Div 2 league and the other a strong Div 3 league- but again that is not the case here.
Atara is playing their T20 games around 54-55k whilst Moooo plays at 40-48k - 24% variance
Atara is playing DEV games at 40-45k and Moooo at 38-43k - 5% variance
Given that a friendly is about picking your best team the variance in Senior games is going to hold more weight and relevance than the variance in the DEV games
That is the big picture. But then we look at the actual match itself as maybe these 'competitive 'friendlies' the 2 play are somewhat different....
So we go to the Expert Preview. In terms of match analysis I strip out Tail End Batting and fielding. They are not irrelevant I know, but fielding is difficult to quantify and if the team does its job in the primary areas becomes potentially immaterial. Ditto even more so for tail end batting. (Stripping them out btw reduces the variance between Atara and Moooo though if you are curious and still bristling at the statistical unimportance I have given fielding!
)
On this basis Atara scores 110 for its batting vs 107 for Mooo - a 3% variance.
Bowling is 181 for Atara to 157 for Moooo - a 15% variance.
Of course Exp Pvw does not tell you if players have been batted and bowled in a sensible order nor what def/agg number settings for the match they are given...... and these things often skew 'real matches' where people are playing for IGT rather than the result.
However (ironically), in a friendly you assume teams are selected and set up to go for the win (why would it be other , where no IGT can be gained from a friendly?).
On that basis you'd conclude that the hefty bowling variance (if it is reflected through all the 'friendlies' these battle hardened veterans play!) is going to put Moooo forever on the back foot. Of course - a moment of greatness , a favourable pitch, poor orders and the vagaries of cricket can turn this around - but if you were a betting chap you'd put your money (if equal odds were being offered) on Atara every time!
