Here is everything you need to know about the 2009 Watpac Inter Dominion Pacing Championship Grand Final to be held at Parklands Raceway on the Gold Coast tomorrow night (12.05am NZ time). I'll have to hope someone (read: anyone) replies.
The build-up to the series, let alone the final itself, has been fascinating. On one hand, we have Blacks A Fake - the three-times winner of this series, hunting for four straight series wins (unprecedented, with Our Sir Vancelot the only Kiwi to manage three wins). "Blackie" as he's affectionately known, had a bit of luck leading into the series - firstly, the 2009 and 2010 series were switched after the 2009 series was meant to be held in NSW, but due to the new NSW track Menangle opening last year, the HRNSW officials wanted another year to sort out their facilities. This means the series is literally in Blackie's backyard, as he's trained and driven by the Queensland-based Natalie Rasmussen.
On the other, we have Auckland Reactor, dubbed the "unbeatable, unbelievable" by the late Darren Tyquin, the Addington racecaller who tragically died in a car accident 8 days ago. The Mach Three entire has already captured the mainstream media's attention - firstly thanks to his brilliant wins as a 3-year-old, and then the sale of the horse from his breeders, Tony and Anne Parker, to a group of owners from around the world, who will eventually take him to the States before he hits the breeding paddock. Prior to the series, Auckland Reactor had gone down just the once - after losing 70 metres from a standing start at Cambridge, he went down by half a length or so to All Tiger back in January - and is justifiably considered the next big thing in the world (and I mean world) of harness racing.
But the first issue was whether he'd go to the series. At first, his co-trainer and driver Mark Purdon wasn't keen and he wasn't nominated, as there were no direct flights to the Gold Coast, and such an arduous journey was a big ask for a 4-year-old. But once he got beaten, I think the owners relaxed a bit and thought "why not?".
So up he rocked - but that's where the fun really started. The series consists of two rounds of heats and the final (there were also other points up for grabs earlier in the season, but that's not too relevant) and the Reactor got drawn in a relatively easy heat in the first round on March 14. The problem begun when Purdon pulled him back off the gate at the start of the mile race (ie, he didn't try and go to the lead from the start of the race). The tight-turning Parklands track then caught Purdon out - the three-wide train (horses moving up on the outside) came very early and all of a sudden, the horse and driver found themselves a long way off the leader, Karloo Mick, with 400m to go. I've been talking to one of the media guys over there quite regularly, and he said he has NEVER seen a pacer travel as quickly as AR did over the last 200 metres.
But I digress, because he lost. And punters were NOT happy, considering he went out as a $1.04 favourite. So Purdon gets dragged into the stewards' room, grilled over his drive and - eventually on the Wednesday - gets suspended for six weeks. Last Saturday, they got the master reinsman Tony Herlihy to drive, and he ground a field including I Am Sam, Washakie and Iron Hudge into the dust. The problem there was Herlihy also drove a great in another heat behind the horse he trains, Gotta Go Cullen, thus forcing AG Herlihy to drive Gotta Go Cullen in the final (due to the rules).
So after much debate, the great Aussie driver Gavin Lang got the drive. But this was after the barrier draw was completed and - would you believe it - Blacks A Fake drew 1 (inside of the front line), while AR drew 13 (out wide on the second line). While the final is over 2609m rather than the heats (which were 1609m on the first Saturday and 2100m last Saturday), the Reactor still has his work well and truly cut out if he is going to be one of the few four-year-olds to claim the series.
So what's going to happen? Obviously, Blacks A Fake will be driven hard from the start of the race to ensure he holds the lead, although I don't see him leading the whole way as he was run down last week by Changeover. Who else will go hard from the start? Maybe Karloo Mick, maybe Washakie, and maybe the NZ-owned, driven and trained Changeover. Then again, I see David Butcher only semi-forcing the issue early and he should be able to cop a nice sit throughout the running.
Again though, the three-wide train I mentioned earlier comes into play. When does the Reactor move? It HAS to be sooner rather than later, or he'll be caught three-wide for a massive duration of the journey. The other fly in the ointment comes from the presence in the final of I Am Sam, a stablemate of Blacks A Fake. While you couldn't call it illegal team driving, there's little doubt he will sit parked right outside Blacks A Fake, thus forcing anyone making a move to stay three-wide.
If Auckland Reactor does win, every accolade that comes his way will not suffice - it will be the most brilliant of brilliant wins and he will be well on the way to joining the likes of Cardigan Bay and Lyell Creek as one of the greats of the sport. But unfortunately, I think the challenge on such a frustrating track (which has next to no camber on the bends), combined with the other factors at play (his draw, Blacks A Fake's draw, and I Am Sam featuring as a difficult obstacle) will be too much of an ask. If he runs in the top three, that's fantastic.
So who wins? My each-way money will actually be going on Changeover. He sat in behind Blacks A Fake last weekend and took him easily when he was let go up the sprint lane (and if you see the replay, David Butcher barely had to tap the reins over the rump), and while he won't lead, he should get an easy sit. Blacks A Fake isn't QUITE the horse he was a year ago, and I don't think Rasmussen has sounded terribly confident in her press comments. The other dark-ish horse is the former American pacer (now trained by Kiwi supremo Tim Butt) Mr Feelgood, who could have the last say if he gets a soft drag into the race (he is drawn 12, so will need it).
My top three? This is an incredibly tough race to pick, but I'm going to go with:
1st - Changeover
2nd - Mr Feelgood
3rd - Auckland Reactor.
In saying that, Blacks A Fake may win and I might look a bit stupid. But that'd hardly be the first time, would it?