Internazionali BNL d’Italia (Preview) - Apr 27- May 3 Season I
ATP Masters Series Monte Carlo Preview:
The Contenders:
• Hall: Despite a disappointing start to his clay season, Hall can never be discounted from a tournament on such a big stage. Hall made it to the quarterfinals of Monte Carlo before going out in straight sets to eventual champion Daniel Páez Blanco, but proved that he was more than competent on clay. Again gets a hard draw with Emelio looming in the second, Benaglio in the third and then fellow American Darcy Cowan in the quarters. If he can get through that, he should be in the type of form to really give Blanco a challenge in the semifinals.
• Blanco: Last time around, we said he was "probably the favourite", and after wins in Monte Carlo and Barcelona that would have to be amended to "the favourite". Handed a much softer draw this time around as Bachunelli or clay-flop Davis await in the second round, whilst he's been given a soft seed for the third with David Champion a prospect. He will like his chances against finals choker Oxenstierna in the quarters who he has a winning record against - but the CWLander can't be discounted here. We reckon he'll win it - and will deserve it with Hall and the likes waiting.
• Daneu: Has again been handed a really easy draw through to the quarters. Onwye or Alavos in the second, and then Boros or Varga in the third - not easy by any means, but a cakewalk compared to Hall and Blanco. His real issue could come in the quarters; Miroslav Brdar knocked him off in Monte Carlo and he looms as a likely opponent for the world number two here. But a win will see him go into the semis as favourite.
• Altman: Has looked the most likely to upstage Blanco after two close losses in successive semifinals. But up a good fight in Monte Carlo, and then dropped the semi in Barcelona from a set up - but his performances will fill him with confidence as he finds himself on the opposite side of the draw. He's fast becoming one of the form clay courters in the world and was rewarded with a rise to sixth on the world rankings. His draw here is an interesting one; whilst he should account for Andueza or Hurtado, the likes of Matias, Amato and Pascaul await in the third round.
• Brdar: He and Daneu should duke it out for the semifinal spot from section 4, and the Croat has proven he has a winning record against the Serbian number one. Has a tough section, though, with the likes of Micic and Charles in contention for the third round. Despite this, he's a very consistent performer who has proven he has what it takes to make it to the late stages. Can he go one step further?
Early Casualties:
• Matias: Probably has been given one of the worst "floating" players first up in the hometown kid Carlo Amato. He's proven his consistency and that he's a solid enough player, but we're not sure whether he's good enough to face down Amato at his finest in the first round. If he gets past, though, another tough prospect looms in the form of French pin-up boy Patrick Pascaul.
• Špidla: He proved us wrong last time with an impressive win over Hancianu, but he's again been given a difficult second round prospect in the form of either Read or Li Wang. Both men probably have too big a tank for Špidla to match, so the big-serving Czech will hope his power game is enough to pull him through on the surface which doesn't quite suit him. We can't see that kind of game holding up against either of them; but he'd probably prefer the out-of-form Read who doesn't have the firepower of his Chinese opponent. Either way, it only gets tougher as János Varga, Randy Smeltz, Jefferson Drake and Juan Moreno are third round prospects.
Roughies:
• Amato: The former national sprinter is a showman and is the type of player who should light up the Rome crowd. He's been given a tough little section - but it is doable if he's at his best. Expecting him to upstage Matias in the first round, and from there nobody can be all that sure how his tournament will go. He's underachieved this season, but no one can doubt his ability.
• Micic: The most unpredictable player on the tournament has underachieved this season, and finds himself in the little eighth which could surprise the big guns. With Charles, Orlov and Brdar in his section, Micic could pull something brilliant out of his bag of tricks and really compete for the title. Either that, or he could blow it in straight sets against the powerful Orlov first up.
CWLand Watch:
• Oxenstierna: Is again unlucky enough to land Blanco in his section; but if he wants to prove he isn't a choker, he's going to have have to beat him sometime. However there is some slight respite for him as he has a qualifier or the Chinese wildcard Zhenyu in the second round, before Davis Kennedy looms in the third. Kennedy is serviceable on clay, but not the most imposing seed he could come up against early. We expect a quarterfinal clash with Blanco to be on the cards.
• Drake: Has again landed the tricky Juan Moreno first up, but his come-from-behind win in Monte Carlo against the Argentine should fill him with confidence. From there it only gets tougher as János Varga (whose ranking has fallen due to injury) looms as a possible second round matchup. The other possibility, of course, is countryman Randy Smeltz who has a big chance of overcoming the Hungarian after a tremendous performance in Barcelona. If Drake makes it through a tricky start, he should be too good for Radek Špidla in the third if the Czech big man makes it that far. Li Wang looks more likely, though.
• Hancianu: Has been given an interesting little draw which could see him pull off a giant-killing run. He's got Carter first up which is a tough ask, but on clay he's beatable as it slows the athletic American right down. Darcy Cowan is unproven on the surface, and Olesen has yet to really set the world on fire despite his high seeding. If he brings his "A" game, he could feasibly face off with Jason Hall in the quarters.
Other matches:
Heath Davis vs. Antonio Bachunelli
Jarko Maxum vs. Tom Vollan
Jojo Mustard vs. David Champion
Randy Smeltz vs. János Varga
Brett Read vs. Li Wang
Billy Spleen vs. Sergio Joaquin
Prediction:
Blanco def. Altman
It is fast becoming the clay court rivalry to watch as Altman has looked to be the only man to have the ability to trouble the undefeated Spaniard. Blanco has been given a relatively simple draw when compared to the shambolic sections 1 and 3. We think these are the best two clay courters going around, and the path is clear for a finals appearance. Don't surprised if Daneu derails that, though.
Draw
Section One
Section Two
Section Three
Section Four