Not sure which of the top 8 is the most likely to go but I doubt it would be England as they have what is probably the best draw of the group stage...
Pakistan and West Indies probably have the toughest with Ireland doing well against SA and flooring Canada and Zimbabwe at least not getting all out against Australia and flooring Bermuda... (Admittedly not much of a surprise)
The other thing here is that neither Pakistan or the West Indies is looking in great form.
I took almost all my assesments from the warm up matches as there realy isnt much else to go by to to asess there current form.
Australia And South Africa I cant see going out as the have a very easy draw and being Ranked no 1 and 2 in the world is probably also a factor
And you dont need to tell me how little Rankings matter in an actual game
Also should either India or Sri Lanka lose to Bangladesh (an unlikely prospect but Bangladesh is the best of the "minnows" so a possiblity) then the match vs eah other could go eithr way so thats somthing to watch too I suppose.
Oh well be sure to tear my first ever post into tiny peices and tell me exactly how wrong I am