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*** Official *** Sri Lanka in South Africa, Nov 27 to Dec 9 2024

Dendarii

International Debutant
Quick, stats guys, what's the highest run chase ever in South Africa?
The highest to win a match was 340 by South Africa against Australia.

The highest fourth innings total in a losing cause was 370 by South Africa, also against Australia.

And just for good measure, the highest fourth innings total in a drawn match was 654 by England.

All three of those were in Durban.
 

Dendarii

International Debutant
Mathematically, what is the probability of Sri Lanka chasing 500+?
There are too many variables to be able to calculate it without any sort of sophisticated model. But it's never been done before, so in all likelihood there's no chance.
 

morgieb

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Mathematically, what is the probability of Sri Lanka chasing 500+?
Other than that 654 back in 1939 in a timeless Test, the highest 4th innings score is 451, and the highest successful chase is 418.

So realistically anything over 450 is safe. It'd be like a 1 in 1000 chance at least.
 

Silver Silva

International Regular
Bavuma is a decent player. Scores tough runs. Good supporter in a partnership.
Since 1 Jan 2020

Temba Bavuma : 21 Tests - 1462 runs @47.16
Virat Kohli : 35 Tests - 1943 runs @32.93
Steve Smith : 38 Tests - 2538 runs @43.75

Yet Bavuma constantly has to deal with people saying he's a quota selection in SA team 😅.
Doesn't get the respect he deserve , brilliant hundred today.
 

Johan

International Debutant
Since 1 Jan 2020

Temba Bavuma : 21 Tests - 1462 runs @47.16
Virat Kohli : 35 Tests - 1943 runs @32.93
Steve Smith : 38 Tests - 2538 runs @43.75

Yet Bavuma constantly has to deal with people saying he's a quota selection in SA team 😅.
Doesn't get the respect he deserve , brilliant hundred today.
His problem is, he has a conceptual inability to go big.
 

BazBall21

International Captain
His problem is, he has a conceptual inability to go big.
Decent supporting batsman in tough conditions but struggles to capitalise on easier situations. It doesn't help that he doesn't suit batting with the tail. I think given his slowish tempo and reasonable solidity, he should bat higher.
 

Dendarii

International Debutant
Since 1 Jan 2020

Temba Bavuma : 21 Tests - 1462 runs @47.16
Virat Kohli : 35 Tests - 1943 runs @32.93
Steve Smith : 38 Tests - 2538 runs @43.75

Yet Bavuma constantly has to deal with people saying he's a quota selection in SA team 😅.
Doesn't get the respect he deserve , brilliant hundred today.
He was averaging 31 at the start of 2020, so I don't think it was unreasonable to question his place on the team because of that. But that is quite the turnaround since then, and he absolutely deserves plaudits for that.
 

Johan

International Debutant
Decent supporting batsman in tough conditions but struggles to capitalise on easier situations. It doesn't help that he doesn't suit batting with the tail. I think given his slowish tempo and reasonable solidity, he should bat higher.
Yeah, think he's a decent Batsmen but that 47-48 average over the last few years is a bit misleading
 

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