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*Official* English Football Season 2015-16

GIMH

Norwood's on Fire
Ticket prices are on the steep side, but if you don't agree with them, then don't go. It's kind of hard to argue that Arsenal charge too much when there's a massive waiting list for season tickets and they sell out home league games.

Comparisons with Germany are also almost always flawed because they have terracing and fewer games, so when people point out that the cheapest season ticket at Dortmund is only €170 or whatever, that's for the terrace and it's for 17 league games; it's worth pointing out that prime area tickets for Bundesliga games are pretty expensive. Ticket inflation is also higher in Germany than in England.

I'll happily pay along to Ibrox this season because we're getting great football and we've got our club back. I didn't buy a single ticket for the previous season and a half because the standard of football under McCoist was disgraceful and I wasn't prepared to fund the regime we had in place.
Safe standing isn't it, rather than terracing?
 

sledger

Spanish_Vicente
Taking this article's thrust a bit further, I am really sick of things that talk about "data" and/or "analytics". There are times where I really regret devoting the last three years of my life to sudying these things. They're almost as bad as management speak to me these days.

That said I don't actually mind hearing people mention "moneyball", as it just makes me think of Liverpool, and that's always good for a laugh.
 

Furball

Evil Scotsman
He's right. Moneyball has nothing to do with just "stats", it's working out what statistics and attributes are under-rated by the market and extracting value from the market.

Thinking cricket, you'd maybe pay big bucks for a bloke like Aaron Finch because you think of him as a big hitting top order batsman. Except Kane Williamson gets his runs at a faster SR. Williamson also strikes at a virtually identical rate to Rohit Sharma despite the latter hitting 4 times as many 6s. So while Rohit might be flashier to watch and attract a higher price, Williamson is just as efficient when it comes to the speed of his run scoring. When you're a team with a limited budget, you go for Williamson.
 
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Uppercut

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I think size and physical strength are overvalued. There's a thrill you get from watching someone physically dominate that puts some people in awe of big, athletic players. Like when Pogba bursts past people into space he looks like an unstoppable force of nature, but Modric does the exact same thing far more often, it just doesn't look so impressive.

For something undervalued, I'm not sure. Maybe agility. David Silva dominates the ball every game he plays just by being able to change direction faster than everyone else. Also I've never seen a quantitative method that accounts for defensive positioning, so that'll be where the gap is if the data-driven stuff really takes off.
 

Uppercut

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Taking this article's thrust a bit further, I am really sick of things that talk about "data" and/or "analytics". There are times where I really regret devoting the last three years of my life to sudying these things. They're almost as bad as management speak to me these days.
Yeah definitely sets off the bull**** detectors. Has the idea of Mathiness gone mainstream or is it just an Econ thing?
 

sledger

Spanish_Vicente
Yeah definitely sets off the bull**** detectors. Has the idea of Mathiness gone mainstream or is it just an Econ thing?
I've not heard of that yet. But data fundamentalism seems to be everywhere all of a sudden. And very annoying it is too.
 

Lillian Thomson

Hall of Fame Member
Extraordinary statement from Steve McClueless that Tim Krul's injury could cost them 18-20 points. They currently have 3 from 8 games. Assuming Krul was fit and they had a good run and somehow managed to scrape into mid table with about 45 points that would be a miracle. Without him their expectancy is somewhere in the mid 20s. :surrender
 

Cabinet96

Hall of Fame Member
Yeah, he's probably just trying to be dramatic or get an excuse in early. No way he can be that deluded. I don't think any player is worth 20 points for their team. I think at best a guy like Messi might be able to get Newcastle 20 more points than they otherwise would but it's hard to say.
 

sledger

Spanish_Vicente
Yeah it's a nonsense comment. Obviously just attempting to lay the foundations for all the excuses that he'll inevitably start making for Newcastle's horrible level of performance this year.

On a general level though, I think a world class goalkeeper (to some sides, at least) can probably be worth about ten points a season. Had Arsenal had a proper goalie (and not bloody Almunia) in 2009/2010 for instance, it's probably not a stretch to say they quite conceivably could/would have won the title.

I remember someone on here, Uppercut I think, pointed out that 10 points they dropped over the last couple of months of the season that year were directly attributable to goals that were conceded as a result of Almunia ****ing up.
 

dontcloseyoureyes

BARNES OUT
That's a terrible analysis though, unless you analyze every goal and ascertain whether he made a save that a replacement level keeper couldn't have made, you can't say that he lost you ten points. Maybe he lost you ten points in those matches but how many saves did he make during the other 30-odd games that an average keeper wouldn't have made? Probably a similar amount. You have to assess both sides otherwise the analysis is pointless.
 

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