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*Official* Australia tour of New Zealand Feb-Mar 2024

jcas0167

International Regular
What is it with these Aussie fans here. One told Lyon he couldn't turn a door knob then another called Smith a cheat as he trudged off following his dismissal.
 

CricAddict

Cricketer Of The Year
Have read a lot here in CW that NZ pitches get better to bat in the fourth innings unlike other places. If that's the case, a 350-370 odd run chase will be interesting. Have to get the aussies within 200 though at the max.
 

TheJediBrah

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Marnus's form is a serious concern, but I'm not sure there's much we can do about it right now? Backup in the squad is renshsw, and his recent domestic form isn't much better. Plus, after this series we don't play again until India in November, and marnus will have a full county season and some shield cricket between now and then. Reckon we stick with marnus for the last test given that.
For me the issue is that Marnus is not just having a form slump, but that this is his mean and he's just not that good. His ~3 years of dominance was based on a combination of a bizarre Voges-like run of form, roady home wickets and absurd luck. Before 2019 he was never particularly good either. Didn't even average 40 in fc cricket IIRC.

So rather than him picking back up and returning to being a 50+ average batsman I expect it to just stay like this. Because this is him, not the run-making machine he was for a few years
 

Spark

Global Moderator
Have read a lot here in CW that NZ pitches get better to bat in the fourth innings unlike other places. If that's the case, a 350-370 odd run chase will be interesting. Have to get the aussies within 200 though at the max.
This does not seem like a typical NZ pitch at all to me. I don't know what they've done but it's played almost like an SA deck at times.
 

Meridio

International Regular
Nathan Lyon is going to make a new high score tomorrow. Pretty much a nailed on certainty after that last ball
 

anonymouskefe

U19 12th Man
For me the issue is that Marnus is not just having a form slump, but that this is his mean and he's just not that good. His ~3 years of dominance was based on a combination of a bizarre Voges-like run of form, roady home wickets and absurd luck. Before 2019 he was never particularly good either. Didn't even average 40 in fc cricket IIRC.

So rather than him picking back up and returning to being a 50+ average batsman I expect it to just stay like this. Because this is him, not the run-making machine he was for a few years
I recall a stat going around a year or so ago saying Marnus was the luckiest cricketer in the world since his debut and had he not been so lucky using his expected dismissals would have averaged high 30's or so
 

Spark

Global Moderator
For me the issue is that Marnus is not just having a form slump, but that this is his mean and he's just not that good. His ~3 years of dominance was based on a combination of a bizarre Voges-like run of form, roady home wickets and absurd luck. Before 2019 he was never particularly good either. Didn't even average 40 in fc cricket IIRC.

So rather than him picking back up and returning to being a 50+ average batsman I expect it to just stay like this. Because this is him, not the run-making machine he was for a few years
I mean who he is right now isn't just the sort of middling batsman you describe but a walking wicket who can't get the ball off the square without presenting a potential catching opportunity. I share the same concerns as you long term but right now he's also in an unusually poor run of form.
 

Nintendo

Cricketer Of The Year
For me the issue is that Marnus is not just having a form slump, but that this is his mean and he's just not that good. His ~3 years of dominance was based on a combination of a bizarre Voges-like run of form, roady home wickets and absurd luck. Before 2019 he was never particularly good either. Didn't even average 40 in fc cricket IIRC.

So rather than him picking back up and returning to being a 50+ average batsman I expect it to just stay like this. Because this is him, not the run-making machine he was for a few years
But he hasn't dropped off at fc level AFAIK? Between our last India tour and the Ashes in England (Middle of his current form slump) he went over to Glamorgan and made runs for fun. Even when he went back to shield cricket for a round before this series he was able to grind out some runs despite looking nowhere near his best.
 

Nintendo

Cricketer Of The Year
I recall a stat going around a year or so ago saying Marnus was the luckiest cricketer in the world since his debut and had he not been so lucky using his expected dismissals would have averaged high 30's or so
The second part of that is bs. During that lucky period rahane was being dropped as much as marnus and averaging half of what he does. Marnus was lucky, but it wasn't Henry nicholls (ohh, I'm not making runs for ages then getting dropped twice/three times to make a hundred) areas either.
 

anonymouskefe

U19 12th Man
The second part of that is bs. During that lucky period rahane was being dropped as much as marnus and averaging half of what he does. Marnus was lucky, but it wasn't Henry nicholls (ohh, I'm not making runs for ages then getting dropped twice/three times to make a hundred) areas either.
I’ll find it for you soon
 

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