Hence the bookies come in. Not completely objective, as their goal is to even out bets on both sides, but usually its a very reasonable approximation of the truth - but of course like many things, it'll be a bell curve where you'll have outlier odds. But if you looked at history of teams who were 60% favorites to win by odds, I would be surprised if their actual winning percentage isn't close to 60% (+/- 5%, lets say).
Well I hope your right but I can't help thinking this is not a market whose outcome will be influenced by the fans punting on it. The only people who will influence the outcome are the 22 players on the field. markets can be distorted by inaccurate assessments and sentiments. I am suspicious the odds favouring Australia are based on something superficially meaningful such as our past success in pink ball tests. (You could get a similar sentiment distorting the odds based on our good record at Perth too: A sentiment without basis as it turned out). A more realistic prediction can be made on the form of the teams and their levels of preparation. In that aspect India have the clear edge. They also have players returning and we've lost Haze ... Based on that I am surprised with the market showing Aus favourites.
Bumrah’s FC record is actually worse than Paris
Watch out, your bag has a hole in it…
Agreed. Deep for Siraj will be great. I will go Bumrah, Deep, Rana and Reddy with Jadeja to support. Deep and Reddy also make the batting line-up deep and ready for any challenges that the Aussie pace battery can pose. Rana and Bumrah can make them **** and be a pain in the ass with their batting at 10 and 11 too.
Devdutt to me looks a walking wicket too on Aussie pitches, especially in a pink ball test, so Rohit over Devdutt is not much of a loss. But agreed that both are walking wickets.
Siraj was really good in Perth. Easily India's 2nd best bowler last match and someone with experience of bowling well in Australian conditions. It would be outrageous to drop him for Akash. Plus Siraj was the pick of the bowlers yesterday. Akash and Rana both looked so wayward and Rana fluked 3 of his wickets.
Siraj also did better than the rest in the practice match.
He's not the answer? 🥹
our bowling and fielding tactics will be worse. i guarantee it
