SJS
Hall of Fame Member
1. I never talked about winning a series or not.People said that about Gavaskar, and Sachin came along 2-3 years after. Then Dravid came along. I'm not saying we'll find another Sachin, because its doubtful that we will. But guess what, we never won anything outside the subcontinent all during the nineties. Not a single Test, let alone a series.
I'm not worried about batting replacements to be honest. I think we'll find people who'll do a creditable job, average somewhere in the forties, maybe one will average fifty, and that'll be good enough.
What is more important are our bowling stocks, especially fast bowling stocks, and that'll decide our future as a team.
2. I never said anything about bowlers.
3. Finding one player to replace one player is not what I was talking about. That can happen finding four players suddenly doesn't just happen out of the blue. You would see those players on the horizon. all of them cant be 14/15 year old wonders like Tendulkar. if they are going to be in their early twenties, you will have heard of them.
4. Dravid and Ganguly came a good seven years after sachin. That can happen. i am not talking of seven years. I am saying there is no one to replace them when they go.
5. Between 1983 and 1996 we had 7 absolutely top class players making their debuts - eight if one counts the short but brilliant career of Kambli.
1983 : Siddhu
1984 : Azhar
1987 : Manjrekar
1989 : Tendulkar
1993 : Kambli
1996 : Dravid Ganguly and Laxman.
Of the last three, Ganguly would have debuted much earlier but for some attitude related problesm. these three had been around the first class circuit for some time and were making waves. Dravid, Ganguly and Laxman were 23, 24 and 22 respectively.
Against 8 players (or 7 if you please) in 13 years we have had NONE in the last 12 years ! Sehwag, an opener made his debut 7 years ago.
I had done a similar study here of the Australian bowling debuts and retirements over the previous twenty year or so to predict in 2004 or 2005 that by end of 2008 Australia will have nothing left in their bowling ranks and many people responded as you have done. The result is before us.
replenishment mist keep taking place. Replacements, even if they dont find place in the side, should be seen in the domestic circuit. Yes we see batsmen but we dont see the caliber of Dravid, SRT and Laxman. Thats all my point was.
Australia too will find bowlers but McGrath, Warne, Gillespie and now Lee wont be replaced in a hurry.
We will survive and probably do quite well in Tests since bowling is so crucial in the longer version but to replace the "fab four" we will take much longer Unless there are four thirteen year old geniuses under some Achrekar Sir in some corner of the country who will suddenly be available in 2010.
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