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WTC 2025 Final : Qualifying scenario
- Thread starter Sunil1z
- Start date
ataraxia
International Coach
Hey Bangladesh have a good shot at it! I guess 2 tests in India and to a lesser extent 2 tests in Pakistan screws them a little, but to get 6 wins from that set of games, or 5 wins and 3 draws, is well within the realms of possibility. That would probably only be enough if a one-sided BGT eventuates however.
TheJediBrah
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Keep in mind this is an estimation, obviously not exact scenarios. It still depends on the results of other teams
Potentially all 4 of Australia, India, New Zealand & South Africa/Pakistan could achieve the "wins required" in this graphic at the same time
Potentially all 4 of Australia, India, New Zealand & South Africa/Pakistan could achieve the "wins required" in this graphic at the same time
centurymaker
Cricketer Of The Year
It's incorrect and depends on how other results pan out.
India needs minimum 6/10 and that's dependent on SA winning no more than 6/8. But SA looking good to win 7/8. If SA gets 7/8, then India needs 7/10 i.e. clean sweep Ban and NZ and then 2 wins in Australia.
Australia needs minimum 4/7 if SA wins no more than 6/8. But if SA wins 7/8, then Aus requires a little more than 5/7 i.e. 3 wins & a draw vs Ind and clean sweep Lanka away.
SA has Pak, SL at home (expect 4/4)
WI & Ban Away - (expect 3/4) so 7/8 for SA is likely
If 7/8 pans out SA would make the final, unless they mess up the overrates. So to get an Ind v Aus final, SA needs to mess up 2 matches at least, but given their draw I don't see it happening.
India needs minimum 6/10 and that's dependent on SA winning no more than 6/8. But SA looking good to win 7/8. If SA gets 7/8, then India needs 7/10 i.e. clean sweep Ban and NZ and then 2 wins in Australia.
Australia needs minimum 4/7 if SA wins no more than 6/8. But if SA wins 7/8, then Aus requires a little more than 5/7 i.e. 3 wins & a draw vs Ind and clean sweep Lanka away.
SA has Pak, SL at home (expect 4/4)
WI & Ban Away - (expect 3/4) so 7/8 for SA is likely
If 7/8 pans out SA would make the final, unless they mess up the overrates. So to get an Ind v Aus final, SA needs to mess up 2 matches at least, but given their draw I don't see it happening.
Last edited:
OverratedSanity
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SA have a very friendly schedule. Hope they make it honestly.
centurymaker
Cricketer Of The Year
And against India 
ankitj
Hall of Fame Member
Each team's qualification scenario should also depend on what other teams do, isn't it?
Sunil1z
International Regular
Obvious. For eg both IND and AUS may not qualify.
Molehill
Cricketer Of The Year
It also doesn't take into account slow over rates which is obviously the key factor for deciding which teams should make the Final.
Ridiculous format, the sooner it's scrapped the better.
mackembhoy
International Regular
Yep lets not even include the other test teams. Cos they might win their only test and make the final.
Should be based on points alone and everyone play the same amount of games.
If countries can't afford to host the same amount, ICC should do something to change that.
A better final scenario needs made too. One off game in England is stupid.
Moral victory regardless.
TheJediBrah
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Yeah it's a joke. The over rate thing especially.
It also shouldn't be every 2 years. Far too frequent, should be every 4 or even 5 years to make it more meaningful, and ideally allow a full home and away cycle to give everyone an even chance.
Finally the team on top should host it. India finishing on top then getting forced to play against a SENA team in England is clearly unfair
Fuller Pilch
Hall of Fame Member
If it is every 4 or 5 years squads will change way too much.
TheJediBrah
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Who cares
If there was a full schedule of all-play-all, home and away, there would also be a stronger case to run it in a league basis only and dispense with the final. Test cricket is a serious business which should award excellence over a lengthy period. It does not require the artificiality of a one-off, winner takes all final.