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Weighted AFL tipping

Magrat Garlick

Magrat Garlick

Global Moderator
Brisbane vs Carlton
Collingwood vs Melbourne
St Kilda vs North
West Coast vs Port Adelaide
Adelaide vs Sydney
Essendon vs Fremantle
Richmond vs Footscray
Hawthorn vs Geelong

dull, but probably correct
 
irfan

irfan

State Captain
Brisbane
Melbourne
West Coast
NM
Sydney
Essendon
Richmond
Hawks

Going for a bit of a mix between upsets and favourites this week.
 
Mr Casson

Mr Casson

Cricketer Of The Year
Ausage said:
Brisbane 1.36 vs Carlton 3.7

Carlon could make alot of people happy tonight.
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Not really, if everyone's picking them there's not much of an advantage in it whether they win or lose. It does make it safer to pick them knowing you're not going to fall a half point behind everyone if Brisbane wins though.
 
Jono

Jono

Virat Kohli (c)
But everyone else should be irrelevant. If you think they're better than a 27% chance of winning, you should select them.

Surely you play value? Because at the end of 22 rounds if you tip as per value you will likely come out on top.

EDIT: Sorry Casson, I see you were replying to the "happy" comment, not a comment that they are value.
 
Mr Casson

Mr Casson

Cricketer Of The Year
Jono said:
But everyone else should be irrelevant. If you think they're better than a 27% chance of winning, you should select them.

Surely you play value? Because at the end of 22 rounds if you tip as per value you will likely come out on top.

EDIT: Sorry Casson, I see you were replying to the "happy" comment, not a comment that they are value.
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Well, some people might be happy if they put their money where their mouth is. I will be - I think 5 days is going to be too short a turnaround for Brisbane after the toil of the last game. They're deserving favourites but you're right, Carlton do look to be over the odds.
 
alternative

alternative

Cricket Web Content Updater
Collingwood vs Melbourne
St Kilda vs North
West Coast vs Port Adelaide
Adelaide vs Sydney
Essendon vs Fremantle
Richmond vs Footscray
Hawthorn vs Geelong
 
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