The flaw in batting averages

[weldone]

The maximum errors will take place at the end of the line.

If you start the line from (0,0) and do not always make it negatively sloped then maximum error will take place at every point of the line...

 

[Migara]

O my God, you are not getting a simple point after so many posts that I am astonished...batsmen playing for 10-12 years in your plot average better than batsman playing for 1 year in your line because they were better batsmen and not because playing well for 10-12 years is easier...If even now you are not getting then I am sorry I can't make it simpler, I have my limitations...

That will comfortably describe the missing 60% of the relationship. My theory is, batsman will peak after playing some time and then wane off.Most will achieve their peak around 10-12 years of playing according to the plot. It can be 9 or 13, but it's some where there. Not 3 years or 4 years for sure.

 

[weldone]

That will comfortably describe the missing 60% of the relationship. My theory is, batsman will peak after playing some time and then wane off.Most will achieve their peak around 10-12 years of playing according to the plot. It can be 9 or 13, but it's some where there. Not 3 years or 4 years for sure.

Batsman may peak after 10-12 years of playing...So what?...

 

[Migara]

Batsman may peak after 10-12 years of playing...So what?...

Yes. It's possible. But less probable.than around 12 years.

 

[weldone]

Say a batsman averages 35 after 5 years...Another batsman averages 35 after 12 years...Would you rate the first batsman higher because he didn't reach his peak according to you?...

 

[weldone]

I am tired after such a long discussion...But Migara you are making the similar mistake in this thread that you made in the Warne versus Murali thread...

 

[Lillian Thomson]

Excellent. Two statsmungers - neither able to make the other understand what they're on about. If only Arpad Elo was still alive.