stephen
Cricket Web: All-Time Legend
It is true that Warne and Waugh in particular largely built their ODI legacy on the 1999 world cup. It was still an ATG side though. Bevan, M Waugh, McGrath, Warne were already established ATG players and Gilchrist was well on his way there. Ponting was considered very good as well. They were largely still the bulk of the side that had gotten to the final of the 96 WC. Warne had some injury questions over him but the bulk of the side was ATG standard. The 1999 WC was always going to leave at least one of South Africa or Australia without a 90s WC win, despite both sides having a bunch of great players through the era.Probably a bit of an exaggeration with the 1999 Aussie side - Reiffel, Moody and even S. Waugh were fairly average ODI players, not to mention that Lehmann had achieved precious little in his ODI career at the time. And, even though in hindsight it may seem preposterous, there were significant question marks about the longevity of Shane Warne's career after a very serious shoulder injury. On paper they may have been the third best side in the tournament. In terms of performance through the semis, they may have been the worst of all the semi-finalists.
Almost certainly South Africa were in average a stronger side than Australia through the era, particularly with peak Klusener but Australia winning was not a long odds victory.
And if this tournament is anywhere near as good as the tournament of 20 years ago it'll be an amazing tournament. England have to be strong favourites at this stage, just as South Africa were in 1999. The trick though is to perform in those key moments and pressure does funny things. Honestly you can't write off any side except perhaps Afghanistan or Bangladesh.
But I'd have written off Kenya in 2003 and they got to the semis.