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***Official**** Sri Lanka in New Zealand 2014/2015

kiwiviktor81

International Debutant
Interesting on the top runscorer for NZ - I pointed out in the Kane vs. Ross thread that Williamson's lower odds for top scoring at the TAB suggested that he was the better batsman, and someone pointed out that this was for the UAE and that it would be different at home. Here we are at home, and Williamson's still paying less to top score in the 1st innings.
 

Athlai

Not Terrible
Agree.

I was almost tempted to say Sri Lankan opening partnership was also value, but it's offset by New Zealand's opening bowlers being so much better; I think it's probably about right on balance.
Yeah the odds are tasty but the reality of whats likely to occur makes it fairly bang on from the bookies.
 

Kippax

Cricketer Of The Year
Yeah this is "form" and SL having rubbish pacers.
Taylor is also seen as less reliable than say KW as a starter, which plays a part in the consistently longer odds you see for him. Topping your team by one run or by 100, both are worth the same.
 

Kippax

Cricketer Of The Year
The weather for the pitch preparation is beautiful I see. The groundsman is targeting a hard and fast pitch.
 

Maximas

Cricketer Of The Year
Agree.

I was almost tempted to say Sri Lankan opening partnership was also value, but it's offset by New Zealand's opening bowlers being so much better; I think it's probably about right on balance.
SL opening partnership is more likely to be 4 lots of 30-70 than one big score IMO, Matthews decent value with the ball there
 

Prince EWS

Global Moderator
SL opening partnership is more likely to be 4 lots of 30-70 than one big score IMO
Yeah I agree, but NZ are going to pick Rutherford. Backing Rutherford to get out before Silva/Karunaratne seemed like a good bet to me instinctively, but the latter two will be facing Southee and Boult which makes it a lot harder for them.
 

Howsie

International Captain
First day sold out. I know it's not a massive ground, 10,000 maybe? But that's a solid effort and hopefully leads to more of these in the future. Can't wait, so pumped.
 

BeeGee

International Captain
Interesting on the top runscorer for NZ - I pointed out in the Kane vs. Ross thread that Williamson's lower odds for top scoring at the TAB suggested that he was the better batsman, and someone pointed out that this was for the UAE and that it would be different at home. Here we are at home, and Williamson's still paying less to top score in the 1st innings.
Odds are set based on how heavily they expect an option to be backed. The more popular batsmen are more heavily backed. Williamson has more fangirls (like Dan) than Taylor, so his odds are going to be comparatively shorter. Actual batting ability has a lesser effect on odds than popularity.
 
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kiwiviktor81

International Debutant
First day sold out. I know it's not a massive ground, 10,000 maybe? But that's a solid effort and hopefully leads to more of these in the future. Can't wait, so pumped.
10,000 at a Test match in NZ would surely be a record for recent years.
 

kiwiviktor81

International Debutant
Odds are set based on how heavily they expect an option to be backed. The more popular batsmen are more heavily backed. Williamson has more fangirls (like Dan) than Taylor, so his odds are going to be comparatively shorter. Actual batting ability has a lesser effect on odds than popularity.
OK, that makes a lot of sense, thanks.
 

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