*SA are one of the current 'form' teams & also have Home ground advantage. They also seem to be relatively free of injury concerns and have a settled squad.
*WI have possibly the best 'lead up' form of the remaining Pool contenders after their success on the flat batting tracks in India. It remains to be seen how much the loss of Samuels will affect their ability to build an innings with their long tail. The SA pitches should be more to their liking than for the other 3 contenders.
*SL have not had a happy summer in SA or Aus. They have generally struggled for runs on the faster & bouncier pitches, but did show form on the relativley slower pitches. Their bowling attack & fielding are the weakest of the contenders, with spin not expected to be as effective as seam / pace. So far this summer they have relied too heavily on the Captain, Sangakarra, Arnold & Muri to provide their competitive edge.
*NZ defeated India in a series dominated by under done pitches. There are big questions re their batting lineup & form, with Bond having niggling injuries & Cairns not yet fit enough to bowl. IMO their ability in the field is second to none, and they loose nothing in comparison to either Aus or SA, apart from not having an attack with bat or ball to post / defend a total. Fleming is fast gaining a reputation as one of the better Captains in the game, and now has more than 1 weapon to play with.
Ordinarily I would be confident of NZ's progression, but I am wary as their batting has the least form of the contenders. Their saving grace V India was their ability to put together little partnerships when it mattered when chasing meager totals.
Playing SL first up & bowling may be to NZ's advantage and may make the difference in the end to their progression at the expence of SL. NZ batting will get better as the tourneyment progresses, as the SA / Aus type pitches are what NZ domestic cricket is trying to encourage / produce.
