Looks like Bird for 5/8 for NSW, thus ensuring the ball never gets to Gasnier & Cooper, Hayne and whoever's on the other wing.
If the NSW back line is Stewart, Hayne, Gasnier, Cooper, ? with halves either Anasta and Finch/ Carney/ Orford/ Pearce, I think they'd probably compete with Qld in that area. Stewart offers plenty in attack, Hayne's defence is good, as is Cooper's - Gasnier is creative, and they need, imo, Anasta's long kicking game, with maybe Bird at lock.
Qld's back line looks very good, though they will miss Lockyer. Presumably they'll pick Prince at 7 and Thurston at 6, which may give NSW a chance running big forwards at the edges.
Having said that, I think Qld's edge is as much in the forwards as anywhere else. Smith, Thaiday, Hannant, Crocker, Petro all seem in good nick and I think they'll more than match the over-rated NSW pack, likely to be Gallen (penalties-r-us); Cryin Ryan Hoffman (definition of non-descript back rower imo); Laffranchi (hopefully gets picked - in form player of the moment); Mason (a front rower who won't run in the middle - needs to be in back row imo); Buderus (class) and Kite (Ryles in disguise - nothing).
My concern with the NSW pack is, who's going to make the 30-40 tackles around the ruck? That pack seems more a running pack than one capable of really meaningful defence in high numbers. I hope I'm wrong.
I think Qld will win it in the forwards, and the backs will cancel themselves out. Qld to have the edge in the halves, obviously.