And yet still accurately predicts most results, the creators of WASP are completely transparent that it doesn't take team form, who the batsman is, what the weather is like or anything other than the history of that format of cricket into account when it makes an assessment. It's a new form of analysis that's surely better than Ian Smith or Craig McMillan prattling on.It still only takes history and nothing else into account. I'll trust my spidey sense.
It's OK if you look at it as a signal of what has happened in the PAST. But I don't like it used as a predictor, because it's not predicting anything really.And yet still accurately predicts most results, the creators of WASP are completely transparent that it doesn't take team form, who the batsman is, what the weather is like or anything other than the history of that format of cricket into account when it makes an assessment. It's a new form of analysis that's surely better than Ian Smith or Craig McMillan prattling on.
It is, it's predicting what a team will likely score based on their current match situation - it adjusts dynamically as the match situation changes meaning you can use it as an indicator on how a team is placed to win a game. Could it be better? Yes. I know for a fact that they're already working on adjustments to bring more information about the current player and format into account but also you have to remember that NZC has part ownership of a lot of the statistical modelling in behind it and they won't want to release everything they know.It's OK if you look at it as a signal of what has happened in the PAST. But I don't like it used as a predictor, because it's not predicting anything really.