One thing I hate is when players are judged purely on statistics. Like, "averaging in the mid to low 30's is just average", or even "NZ is a side with no talent, except for maybe Bond, but they make up for that with there team-work" sorta bull**** just because thats the way the stats read.
But, I'm gonna play the stats game here to show
current form
Code:
[B]NZ ODI Stats for 2007[/B] (career averages in parenthesis)
SP Fleming 596 runs @ [B]39.73[/B], S/R [B]78.62[/B]
[I](32.78) (71.46)[/I]
RL Taylor 495 runs @ 35.35, S/R 79.45
[I]([B]40.23[/B]) ([B]83.31[/B])[/I]
L Vincent 474 runs @ [B]52.66[/B], S/R [B]80.06[/B]
[I](28.27) (70.05)[/I]
CD McMillan 470 runs @ [B]42.72[/B], S/R [B]95.14[/B]
[I](28.34) (75.96)[/I]
PG Fulton 458 runs @ [B]35.23[/B], S/R [B]78.42[/B]
[I](33.73) (76.12)[/I]
JDP Oram 362 runs @ [B]90.50[/B], S/R [B]111.04[/B]
[I](23.17) (80.99)[/I]
BB McCullum 357 runs @ [B]35.70[/B], S/R [B]102.00[/B]
[I](23.53) (82.09)[/I]
SB Styris 325 runs @ [B]54.16[/B], S/R [B]87.83[/B]
[I](30.70) (78.85)[/I]
Taylor has only just started his career so you can't really say much about his stats.
But for all the others, they are all punching well above their respective career averages, and strike rates. And thats not just because they have played against the so-called minnows. Of the 19 ODI's played so far, 7 have been against Australia, 5 against England, 3 against Sri Lanka, and one each against West Indies, Bangladesh, Canada, and Kenya.
If thats not called peaking, then I dont know what is. Simply put, NZ are more than a dark horse for this WC, they should be one of the favourites. You always hear about Australia's dominating batting line-up, but how bout NZ's?
Here is Australia's top 8 batsmen in terms of runs for 2007
Code:
[B]AUS ODI Stats for 2007[/B]
MT Hayden 1001 runs @ 66.73, S/R 89.21
RT Ponting 707 runs @ 70.70, S/R 94.01
MJ Clarke 509 runs @ 46.27, S/R 80.66
BJ Hodge 437 runs @ 54.62, S/R 105.81
AC Gilchrist 433 runs @ 30.92, S/R 96.86
MEK Hussey 371 runs @ 30.91, S/R 80.47
A Symonds 205 runs @ 34.16, S/R 105.12
SR Watson 199 runs @ 49.75, S/R 95.67
(Australia, like New Zealand have also played 3 minnows in The Netherlands, Scotland, and Bangaldesh)
The stats look the same apart from Hayden and Ponting, who really stand out from the crowd. But the stats show both are dominating batting line-ups. Australia are a little more reliant on the top order, Hayden and Ponting in particular. New Zealand bat longer down and are slightly more reliant on there middle to lower order, the likes of McMillan, Oram, and McCullum.
New Zealand's top order has an inform Fleming, but with Vincent out, and Taylor still to come back is obviously weaker than Australia's top order. But the opposite can be said for the middle to lower order of Australia, with Hussey in a slump, Symonds coming back into the side for either Hodge, and a longer tail (although Hogg has shown he can do his part with the bat)
So yes, Australia does have a dominating batting line-up, but so do New Zealand, even without Vincent. So I don't why there is all this talk about Australia going to crush all sides with there batting. What about New Zealand's batting? If you look at the stats.....
And I havent even mention the big X-factor in this whole thing. The Bond-factor
Bond vs Australia: 11 matches, 34 wickets @ 13.88, econ 4.52, S/R 18.4
Bond vs Gilchrist: 3 times dismissed @ 17.66
Bond vs Hayden: 1 time dismissed @ 1.00
Bond vs Ponting: 6 times dismissed @ 17.83
So if Bond mops up both Ponting and Hayden cheaply, then its game on! And we all no about New Zealand's chasing.
I see New Zealand steamrolling both Sri Lanka and South Africa, and going into the undefeated vs undefeated final Super 8 match against Australia, where the winner will remain undefeated and take top spot through to the semis. You heard it here, first!