Introducing cricodds: Match Odds and Analysis

[viriya]

same issue for ODIs for cases with high RRR and low number of overs remaining...the win odds are overstated and almost no wins at or higher than mentioned RRR

Yep need to look into.. just switching RRR doesn't work so have to figure out the correct combination of methods that works best.

 

[viriya]

I do think RR/RRR is the way to go though.

 

[weldone]

Do you mean 'RR divided by RRR'? No, that will be very misleading.

Go with the RRR with wickets combination that I suggested.

 

[viriya]

Do you mean 'RR divided by RRR'? No, that will be very misleading.

Go with the RRR with wickets combination that I suggested.

Of course not.. RR for 1st innings, RRR for 2nd innings.

 

[weldone]

For RRR, you may try a combination like this:

1. -10% to +10% RRR with exact number of wickets remaining, plus
2. -5% to 15% RRR with number of wickets remaining + 1, plus
3. -15% to +5% RRR with number of wickets remaining - 1.

Try this please