It would appear that the career of a top fast bowler would be of approximately 10-12 years duration. With a peak of, say six-seven years, he could have a couple of modest years at the beginning and 2-3 at the end, ideally.
Most bowlers prolonging their careers beyond that would need to make an early transiton to a fast medium, line and length bowler a la Richard Hadlee or Gle McGrath. Otherwise they are likely to have a longer period of mediocrity in their careers and, as Gavaskar would say, people will ask not "why is he retiring" but rather "why isnt he retiring"
I intend to study some more bowlers to see who timed their retirement better.
But first the West Indians.
Here are four top West Indians. As I said before West indians dont fit the pattern when they come in batches of half a dozen a time
Seriously, they make a very intersting study in contrast.
GARNER :
- Three great years
- Five moderate years
- Two great years
and he decides to quit.
HOLDING :
- 4 modest years and then
- 6 great years.
and he quits. Almost perfect.
Of course, no one knows, FOR CERTAIN, how he would fare if he continued but a bowler's body as well as his performance shows and the signals are strongest to the individual himself. Of course it helps a lot if your country has a million fast bowlers waiting to replace you as Windies had those days.
and finally the two guys pitted against Waqar and Wasim in this thread. Amazing careers both
WALSH A very long (18 years) career of medium intensity
- 2 moderate years
- 5 years of first peak (include one below average year right down the middle)
- 7 years of modest returns but the old warrior fights on
- 4 years of brilliance. Walsh now a completely changed medium pacer bowled length nagging and accurate enough to do a spinner proud and then quit when it looked as of he could go on for another 18 years.
A fascinating career, showing how a pacer could make a transition to a medium pacer of fantastic control and then go on for almost as long as the body allows. Old English pros like Derk Shackleton belonged to this type. Hadlee and now McGrath seem to be showing us how this can be done. ut Walsh was an unlikely candidate for this when he started.
AMBROSE
One of those rare bowlers whose entire career (almost) appears like one peak. Malcolm Marshall is another who comes to mind. I need to look at his figures.
After a poor 1989, from 1990 to 2000, this tall West Indian showed no signs of any reduction in his effectiveness.
To understand Ambrose's phenomenon (also Walsh's for that matter) we need to look closely at his figures.
Throughout this long 11 year 'peak' Ambrose maintained a stike rate in the low fifties. Just thrice did his strike rate dip below 50 and never for two consecutive years. His peak period avg strike rate is in the mid fifties , Wasim and Imran are in mid forties and Waqar in higher thirties.
Same is true for Walsh.
Clearly these two bowlers were working at keeping the run rate down, pegging the batsmen down and then getting them to make mistakes. A spinner's mentality really but also something which helped prolong their careers and with success.
The high strike rate bowlers bowl and expend a lot of energy. This finally takes its toll with so much of cricket played. Not just physical but, I beleive, the high strike rate bowler also suffers more by way of mental exhaustion since he puts much more emotion into his bowling.
(to be continued)