Victor Ian said:
Nice list of bowlers. What about Panasar, Gul, Bravo, Gayle, Rafique, Boje, Giles, etc, etc. As you can see, selective lists of names don't really tell you much.
As it turns out, I did do a stats breakdown for the numbers I stated.
Span Ave RPO
2005-2010 34.95 3.33
Span Ave RPO
2000-2005 33.49 3.10
As for those batting averages, extras aside, they are the bowling averages too. The bowlers in the second 5 year bracket as a combined force....well, they're worse. As just demonstrated, my statement about Gilchrist is in tune with the evidence of reality.
Just to make sure, I took the bowling averages of those bowlers you listed for the period 2005-2015 and compared them to bowlers who were all in decline or yet to hit their straps from 2000 to 2005.
Overall figures
Anderson Broad Harris Johnson Khan Morkel Ntini Philander Steyn
Span Ave RPO
2005-2015 34.94 3.28
Flintoff Singh Hoggard Kumble Muralitharan Ntini Pollock Younis
Span Ave RPO
2000-2004 33.45 3.08
I left out some bowlers such as Walsh who averaged 19 in this period and Aktar who averaged 20. The point is, that naming a handful of bowlers tells you nothing, or if it does, it tells you that your theory needs some work.
Now you can respond.
Ok its interesting that the stats show this, based on what you found. No doubting you, will eventually check it out for myself.
I would want to call it a odd statistical anomaly because of my head i can remember worse second tier bowlers from the 2000-2005 period such of Ed Giddins, V Raju, Iqbal Siddiqui, Martin Saggers, Chris Drum, Franklin, Adam Sanford, Bahutule, Marlon Black, D Mohanty, M Sami (PAK), James Ormond, K Lokorachi, Dillon, Cameron Cuffy, P Gunaratne, D Pretorious, M Zondeki, Kirtley, Jon Lewis, all bangladesh bowlers who were just as bad or worse
At the end of the day while better bowlers began to emerge post 2005, there is reason why the entire 2000-2010 is generally refereed to as worse since 1930s and post WW2.
So maybe its a case that despite better pace bowlers/bowling groups, guys peaking who debuted/started pre-2005, emerging post 2005 - the general amount of bad stuff throughout the decade didn't register much in the stats (pending my checks)
Overall the veracity of this breakdown doesn't really go against my point, that the actual non existence of quality pace attacks from PAK 1999 - to NZ 2005 that Gilly dominated, were incomparable to actual very good Ashes 2005 & S Africa 2005/06 who found his weakness, kept attacking it and he never adjusted until retirement
That had nothing to with his age, people just throwing that out their baseless. In March 2005 at age 34 when Gilchrist had finished killing NZ to a series high average of 171 or something, he was looking as fresh & supremely dominant as ever & the awe factor of him being this unreal cricketer, they way people speaking about De Villiers now was the talk.
Aussie has made a point that I am interested in. He said that Gilchrist was found out, circa 2005 and was never able to recover. Whether this is true or not, what I take from this is that in picking an all time great team, do I pick a player who has been found out. Of all the great players a number of them would have gone into retirement having not successfully countered a certain tactic that has been found to work against them. Let's just say that Aussie is right (This is hypothetical - Aussie is rarely right). Do I pick Gilly in my team presuming Lillee, Marshall, Barnes and Akram know of his weakness, or do I presume these bowlers do not know of his weakness as they never played against him, nor in his era? When picking Gilchrist, based on his best form, am I able to conveniently pretend that know one yet knows of the right way to play against him? Do I assume that given eternal youth, he would have countered this, just as he countered all the other tactics thrown at him during his heyday? I'm sure all batsmen have a weakness and that many may have never been found out yet, but the weakness would be there just the same. Can I really say Bradman has no weakness? Or is the truth that he has does have one, only that it was never found out? For all his fallacies, this is the question that Aussie has indirectly raised that has given me much to think about.
I don't know of a batsman in test history that was found out similar to Gilchrist & got a chance to play until retirement as I type right now & really think. Most such players if it happens at the end or mid career were dropped, instead of getting chance to last until retirement with that know weakness they couldn't overcome.
While they were many players who battled through their careers after the whole world of good bowlers found a weakness & cemented their greatness by still being able to score runs in response to it.
If I'm picking a ATXI to face other teams, for me you picking all players when they were at the peak of their powers. Hell you stretching imagination a bit too and even suggesting you picking them at certain specific ages of their lives - there lovely questions once once asked in Gideon Haigh article years ago:
All-time World XI: Gideon Haigh on all-time XIs | Cricket | ESPN Cricinfo
So in a case like Gilchrist, the way to get him out is already know, so a hypothetical ATG attacks already know what to do. You compare him to somebody like Lara who AUS found a way to get out with the around the wicket tactic in 1995. A ATG pace attack would certainly target it, but as Lara showed in his career he is more likely to survive it and make runs versus such bowling than Gilchrist would.