I'd back Ireland to beat Pak and England to beat BD.
And NZ to beat Aus.
Leading to
NZ vs Ireland
SA vs. Lanka
Aus vs WI
India vs England
NZ crush Ireland, India crush England, SA choke to SL, and WI have a crazy good day and knock out Aus.
Leaving us with
NZ vs Lanka
India vs. WI
Lanka and WI both get demolished, lead to NZ vs India in the final.
The Indian batsmen, lead by a Kohli 177*, demolish the NZ attack to set them a target of 340.
NZ, inspired by McCullum and the home crowd, put on a heroic chase, but India keep taking wickets. NZ attack, and MSD attacks back. Run rate is high throughout, but the highest individual score is Kane Williamson's 82.
A dramatic final few overs leads to NZ needing 9 off the final over to with 1 wicket in hand. Southee and Milne batting
With overs left from Mohit Sharma, Shami, and Ashwin, Dhoni instead turns to...Suresh Raina.
Milne takes a single, Southee takes a single, Milne swings and misses twice, and then gets another single.
6 to win. One ball. Another masterstroke from MSD?
Raina fires it in full and flat. Southee swings. Fantastic contact, the crack of the willow echoes around the ground, the but ball goes high, high into the air.
Kohli calls for the catch. This is his moment. His world cup. His chance to claim glory.
The runs, tracking the ball over his shoulder and it floats down to the Earth.
It looks like it might just clear the deep midwicket boundary.
Might
Kohli settles himself at the boundary. Heels on the rope. Arms ready to intercept the match-winning six. It looks like it might go over him. He gets ready to leap.
Southee looks on. He's hit a lot of sixes in his career. He'll hit a lot more before he's done. He'd trade them all in if it meant having just this one.
The MCG holds its breath.
Best. World. Cup. Ever.