Realised that it's not good for team image to have someone in the squad with the Twitter handle "TheCompDog".
Not really, it isn't. Bell, Bairstow, Prior, Swann...they shouldn't be in the side if you don't expect them to score 80 runs among themselves on more than a semi-decent wicket.
Except Clarke was dismissed by a ball that would be near-impossible to bowl in these conditions, and Broad's infrequency of match-winning performances means the law of averages aren't on his side.
Got it. Thank you.
How does Clarke getting 0 makes it more likely that he'll score runs in the second innings? Or Broad bowling well last week make it less likely that he'll bowl well this week? That's absurd.
I really don't think it is that bad. Yeah sure he is not blessed with a natural commentators voice but he is not Ian Healey.
Probably cbf
Law of averages isn't a real thing. On average Broad may only have one or two brilliant performances a season, but him using them up early doesn't decrease the chances of it happening later in the season.
maybe its not his voice per se, he just talks too much or something. It's pretty intense out there, and it kind of ruins it. Probably a bit harsh though given he is no doubt excited with it being a new job etc.
To be technical, you're looking at unconditional probability when the conditional probability is correct. I.e. the probability of Clarke failing twice is low, but the probability of him failing twice given that he's already failed once is just as high as the probability of him failing once.
Exactly. If there's any correlation at all it's more likely to be the other way around.
