NUFAN
Y no Afghanistan flag
I'm interested (kind of) why you'd call those picks illogical, I definitely think you can play the percentages a bit but all it takes is someone to be thinking like you and you are screwed.There is an obvious tension that exists between wanting to pick an ATG, but needing to pick an obscure cricketer in order to avoid a 'Sheep'. So knowing when to go for the ATG, and when to go for the obscure cricketer is the name of the game. I think that there are some simple principles that can be followed when trying to decide between those 2 categories during a pick.
Of course the risk of getting a 'Sheep' will never go away, but I believe that the risk can be minimised somewhat, while at the same time grabbing the occasional ATG.
That said, Engineer and Adcock were illogical picks by me, and I think that I understand why.
There are a couple of things that people have done so far which as far as I can tell, isn't playing the percentages, but who knows perhaps gut instinct is the way to go, especially with your first pick.