These players are safe IMO:
Warner
Cowan (who's really better?)
Clarke
Smith (good innings yesterday, should save him)
Haddin
Wade (dunno who else would be in contention out of keepers)
Henriques (new Watson?)
Pattinson (handled himself better than others involved in homeworkgate)
Siddle (still the attack leader)
Not even 100% confident on Lyon or Starc.
Options for other players:
Batsmen:
Watson (vice-captain, but has lost a lot of respect due to homeworkgate)
Khawaja (****ty attitude but a talent)
Hughes (good attitude but horribly out of nick)
Doolan (best Shield season out of the guys not in the side)
Burns (seems like a good young talent, but when is he playing in England?)
Bailey (crap Shield form but seen as next in line)
I'd like to see Rogers and Cosgrove play, but it won't happen
Spinners:
Lyon (has been crap lately but still probably the leading spinner)
Agar (has been good at Shield cricket, can bat, young)
O'Keefe (see above but apparently people don't rate him)
Doherty (the fact that he's in India means his name will still be in the selectors thoughts unfortunately)
Quicks:
Starc (has been awful in India, could be theoretically left out)
Bird (looks gun. Really should play, but not enough confidence to mark him down as a certainty)
Hilfenhaus (bowled good in England last time, still took wickets against SA although looked meh)
Harris (comes down to his fitness. Our best bowler when fit IMO)
Johnson (bowled decently recently but lost points for homeworkgate, the end?)
Faulkner (good in FC cricket, and has played internationals recently)
Coulter-Nile (hyped for some reason)
Sayers (rated as a bolter, been good in Shield cricket)
M Marsh (seen as the golden child for some reason, outside bet if he finds form)
I'd like to see Bollinger and Butterworth in contention, but again it won't happen.