Hurricane
Hall of Fame Member
It is debatable about whether you should drop games against Bangers - because if you want to win the game you still have to have your batsman turn up to the game and perform against them. However - lots of people on this forum drop games against Bangers as a standard practice. Even if the innings were under pressure and helped their country out of a tight situation. Basically they only have 1 consistent established test quality bowler who shows up in every game. A good example is Guptil - he averages 35 over the same time period - but when you take out the Bangers games it is just 23.7.And on dropping stats against Bangladesh, should we then drop these stats because McCullum only made 27 runs in 2 innings in this game and NZ got bowled out for 171 in the first innings?
1st Test: Bangladesh v New Zealand at Chittagong, Oct 17-21, 2008 | Cricket Scorecard | Cricinfo.com
I find it a bit rough to drop stats against any country because in essence I am comparing him to other NZ batsman - guys who have played the same opposition.
If we are going to pick and choose who he averages what against in the last couple of years...
4 tests vs Aus - 309 runs at 44.14.
I think the best comparison to make is against the averages of other NZ batsmen in that period...
Batting records | Test matches | Cricinfo Statsguru | Cricinfo.com
In over the last 20 tests NZ have played, he compares very well. Tuffey (thanks to his mint 80*) tops the averages, then Ryder, Taylor, Vettori, then McCullum. I would say that
over that period he would definitely be in our top 6 test batsmen. So why drop him before he gives you a reason to? Unless you count losing the gloves as a reason. If he was averaging less than 30, and dropped the gloves, yes. Over 40? No.
I clicked on your link to the ranking of the new zealand players by average over the last 20 games. McCullum is not beating any player of note. He is ahead of Guptil and Oram both of who have had questionable performances over this time period.
I HOPE that McCullum does well. But all I have is hope and not faith. I don't fancy his chances at number 3. I have the feeling that he will fail opening the batting by trying to be sensible. After reflection I do think he can probably make a good fist of number 6 for NZ.
Jezroy - I don't think he will get dropped. But I hope they don't put him in the top 5. I don't think we should use Guptil as a benchmark for the level of acceptability in the top 5.