Ferguson's always been one of those players who's had to do just that bit less than everyone else to get huge wraps, just because he looks so good. He had rave reviews when coming into South Australia's team originally despite not even completely earning his selection in it through the Grade cricket system, and the Australian selectors have basically just been sweating on him to do something so they could pick him ever since. He's been playing for South Australia since 2002/03 and had never even had a season in which he averaged 30 in one day cricket before 2008/09, but of course actually scoring runs consistently is secondary if you can remind people of Greg Blewett on the rare occasion you actually do something.
Despite all that, even I myself have always had high hopes for Ferguson - mainly because it so often seems that the quality of bowling his facing has such little relevance. He's rarely actually beaten by good bowling - he usually loses concentration and finds a way to get himself out once set - so there's a belief (one that I'm actually somewhat open to) that he'll produce extremely similar returns regardless of the level he plays at. The rise in the quality of the bowling probably won't effect him much as his biggest demon is so often himself. After watching him play for South Australia just before his selection, I had little doubt he could do a good job for Australia in the short-term - my concern was and still is his ability to back it consistently after his form levelled out if he kept his place in the team. The selectors were vindicated in their choice to pick him in the one day team and I didn't even really mind the selection when it happened, but the thought of him in the Test team genuinely grinds my gears.
My main gripe with having him in the Test frame isn't so much to do with his ability, but the message it sends to the entire system, and indeed Ferguson himself. For as long as I've followed Ferguson's career he's been selected in teams based on how he looks rather than how many runs he's scored, and I get the feeling that probably happened a fair bit through the junior ranks as well. I don't want a situation created where he thinks that looking like you'll score runs is as successful as scoring them as the same could well happen at the top, as well as obviously having a negative impact on the actual goals of those batsmen playing domestic cricket.
People have accused me in the past of having some agenda against him, but I'd actually love nothing more than to see him come into the Test team in a few years time with a gut full of runs in the Shield to his name. I really enjoy watching him bat; he's right up my ally from an aesthetic point of view. What I have an agenda against is the queue-hopping that undermines the entire system - Australia are certainly not desperate when it comes to Test middle order batting options so there's no reason at all to turn to this bloke before he actually strings a couple of noteworthy seasons together.
.........
And even given all that, I still think Richard's claim that this injury could be a good thing for him and/or Australia in the long run is nothing short of absurd.