He's not generally a bagger though, unlike others on this forum (glares at a certain Brit who likes scrabble). PEWS sets alot of store on FC records and experience, you have to be aware of that when discussing cricket with him. Regardless of the undoubted potential of many of these batsmen, lets be honest, most of their records bar Ryders are not flash. PEWS has huge belief in the FC system, and that the biggest FC scorers should be picked, and I generally agree with him, however (imo only though) I have much more faith in what assets players have and what they've shown at test level (I've put this realy badly, when i get the right words I'll edit) than PEWS, whose slections for players who've played less than 15 games or so are based on the FC system, which I generally always agree with, though in our case I'd much rather have How with his poorer FC record, than say Papps or Bell.
I'l make a bit of an example by selected my guessed PEWPEW batting order
Papps
How (not sure here though, but there aren't many options)
Sinclair
Fulton (I thouroughly agree here, its a joke he isn't playing)
Ryder
etc, etc
So there's a bit of enlightenment on why he's so scathing of our current team because we have Mr Inconsistent Taylor, the one season wonder with an overall FC average of 30 odd in Flynn, and Redmond who doesn't have much of a record. He loves How's technical changes, but doesn't like his FC record.
He'd much rather have Sinclair, Fulton, Hay, Broom etc with their fairly nice FC records. I'd actualy agree with him there, though I (and you) have more faith than he in our current line up.
PEWS will probably say I'm completely wrong with his thinking, but oh well.
Yeah, that's more or less right. It's a bit exaggerated but it's not too far off the mark.
I'm generally pretty stats/experience orientated - obviously there are exceptions, but until the exceptions have been proven to me, I go with the stats primarily. Flynn's First Class average when he was first selected over Sinclair was only marginally higher than Sinclair's
Test average, for example, and whilst the recent stats would show a different story, players have troughs and peaks and to only consider recent form and what a batsman has looked like in the last season or so shows a complete lack of basic cricket understanding for mine. If a player is likely to score runs at Test level, he will show it by stacking up the runs domestically in consecutive seasons. The best judge of the game is the game itself and if someone's only managed to average 30 odd over a long domestic career, how can one expect them to do better against better bowlers?!
On Sinclair specificially, whilst I still do think that he would have had a good Test career if given a consistent run rather than the on-again-off-again selections he received, whilst I wouldn't have dropped him on several of the ocassions he actually was dropped, and whilst I'd be the second happiest man alive (after Skippy himself) if he did manage to get recalled, I wouldn't pick him now. Despite my faith in his ability as a batsman and his long-term proven record, I don't actually think he'd be particuarly sucessful if he was recalled now unless he was told something like "We think you're the best batsman in the country and you're not going to get dropped for the next five series regardless of your performances" - which obviously isn't practical by any stretch and should not be done.
If I was asked to pick a top 6 for the first Test, I'd go with this:
Papps - by far the best opener domestically with the possible exception the technical inept Bell, he's never been given the extended run he deserves to make this place his own.
How - First Class record indicated he was afraid of pushing on to get big runs and surprise surprise... despite this, he has arguably the best technique in the country and opening options are rare.
Ryder - Clearly a dickhead but he's experienced on the First Class scene and has consistently put the performances in there, despite his reputation.
Fulton - Sinclair without the ghosts of poor selection's past. Has a technical fault but actually scores runs - worth a real extended run at #3 or #4
Taylor - Was picked far too early for mine and would really have benefitted from being told he had actually had to score lots of runs to make the team, but he's here now and played some good knocks so I'd continue to pick him
Hay - Team batting needs bolstering, he's the best candidate. He's been talked down of late but he's piled on the runs domestically last season and, unlike Flynn, has done it his WHOLE career.
As I said before though, my criticism of the NZ batting lineup hasn't been because I object to the selections as such, and they've picked a side somewhat like what I would have. Even if the team I named was set to play I'd still be talking them down because in comparison to not only Australia but every other Test team worldwide (with the exception of Bangladesh) and indeed other New Zealand teams in semi-recent times, it completely lacks in experience and proven class. Potential doesn't score runs for you.
I believe New Zealand will get roundly smashed - not because I want that to happen or have a bizarre hatred for them like Scaly - but because the batting lineup is terrible (as it stands) by Test standards. It may be talented and it may have potential but it's shown absolutely nothing as a whole so far and until it does, I'll continue to have basically no faith in it. I know some of this may sound a little obvious, but some people have suggested that New Zealand will compete and that the series might be close - I don't really think that has a chance in hell of happening unless they bowl absolutely brilliantly and I've backed up that opinion by stating my gripes with the NZ batting lineup - not all individually, but as a whole group of players at Test level.