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*Official* Warne vs Murali Discussion

Migara

International Coach
KaZoH0lic said:
Indeed they usually are. But considering Warne has taken 2/3rds of his wickets in top/middle order batsmen and when they've settled it will undoubtedly raise his average. Whereas Murali faces most the batsmen when they're not settled and in the beginning.
Once more poor logic. more than 2/3 of Mural's wickets are from the top order and hence he's bowling to more set batsmen than Warne. He's #3/#4 bowler for SL similar to Warne. When Murali is called early, it is because it is near a brak or close to end of the day and he'll at most get 4-5 overs, most of the time it is 2.
 

Migara

International Coach
t's the fact that Murali plays at home and against minnows so often.
Once again wrong. Warne plays more against ENG, SAF, NZ and WI than Murali, and playing against minnows is offset by playing more against these countries. When performance against each opposition is taken in to account, Murali's figures are better against every country except Pakistan.
 

Ikki

Hall of Fame Member
Once more poor logic. more than 2/3 of Mural's wickets are from the top order and hence he's bowling to more set batsmen than Warne. He's #3/#4 bowler for SL similar to Warne. When Murali is called early, it is because it is near a brak or close to end of the day and he'll at most get 4-5 overs, most of the time it is 2.
But he's not.

Warne faces batsmen already settled as McGrath and co. haven't gotten them out. Murali comes in right in the beginning and whether they're settled or not has been on his own efforts.

Not only does Murali come in quicker than Warne but there are more batsmen he will face that are unsettled. For even if we accept your stance that they come in at about the same time (which they don't) then Murali still has usually 9 or so batsmen to face whereas Warne has 7 or so.

Also, Murali bowls more overs than Warne, as a proportion of his own team's balls whereas Warne has to share the overs. This is exactly where momentum, which you replied to, but didn't address, comes into it.
 

Migara

International Coach
KaZoH0lic said:
Warne faces batsmen already settled as McGrath and co. haven't gotten them out. Murali comes in right in the beginning and whether they're settled or not has been on his own efforts.
Once again wrong. Who's better in taking top order wickets? McGrath or Vaas? Warne have to bowl to new batsman after McgRath has removed the top, which is not the day in and day out case for Murali.
 

Ikki

Hall of Fame Member
Once again wrong. Who's better in taking top order wickets? McGrath or Vaas? Warne have to bowl to new batsman after McgRath has removed the top, which is not the day in and day out case for Murali.
Yeah, that's the whole point: McGrath taking more upper order wickets means there are less to take for Warne and it is purely a matter of numbers that will inflate his proportion of tail-ender wickets. Not a real reliance on them.

But, 2/3rds of Warne's wickets come from upper-order wickets, and this does more than enough to take any advantage of taking tail-ender wickets out, especially considering when Warne takes upper-order wickets, they're usually settled - unlike Murali.
 

Migara

International Coach
KaZoH0lic said:
Not only does Murali come in quicker than Warne but there are more batsmen he will face that are unsettled.
Because McGrath takes more top order wickets than Vass there will be no set openers for Warne to bowl at, but unsettled middle order.

Even Murali comes before Warne to the attack, by then batsman have settled agaibst 10-15 overs of pace which is not of highest quality except Vaas). When Murali comes to the attack, most of the time it is 40/0 in 15 overs wehere as When warne comes it is more like 90/3 off 25 overs.
 

Migara

International Coach
KaZoH0lic said:
But, 2/3rds of Warne's wickets come from upper-order wickets, and this does more than enough to take any advantage of taking tail-ender wickets out, especially considering when Warne takes upper-order wickets, they're usually settled - unlike Murali.
Once again going in circles. Murali takes more settled batsman than Warne. Why? SL has a weaker pace attack to disloge top order batsman.
 

Ikki

Hall of Fame Member
Because McGrath takes more top order wickets than Vass there will be no set openers for Warne to bowl at, but unsettled middle order.
But you're very very wrong. Warne only takes 2.9% less top-order wickets than Murali. Very impressive, considering most of the time he will either not get to face them, or will have to face them AFTER McGrath and co. have tried and are hence settled.

Even Murali comes before Warne to the attack, by then batsman have settled agaibst 10-15 overs of pace which is not of highest quality except Vaas). When Murali comes to the attack, most of the time it is 40/0 in 15 overs wehere as When warne comes it is more like 90/3 off 25 overs.
Which is exactly the reason why Murali would have more upper-order wickets than Warne: because he faces more upper-order batsmen. That's why being that there is only such a small difference between their tail-ender wickets is actually a fact that doesn't help Murali. And you can't point to his average against them because a) it includes minnows and b) it includes playing at home for most of his career. Advantages Warne doesn't have, so it evens out, if not spill over on the other side.
 

Ikki

Hall of Fame Member
Once again going in circles. Murali takes more settled batsman than Warne. Why? SL has a weaker pace attack to disloge top order batsman.
But the only reason they are settled is because MURALI hasn't taken them. He starts off early enough to face those batsmen. If Vaas comes in and takes no wickets, then that is only 2 batsmen where Murali has to face settled batsmen that Vaas couldn't get.

Whereas with Warne the reason they're settled is usually NOT his doing and it is McGrath and co.'s. Which means not only when McGrath takes 2 wickets it is 2 less upper-order wickets to take, but the next 2 batsmen that McGrath and co. don't get become settled batsmen Warne has to face.

ALSO, in between rotating between bowlers, Warne is taken out of the attack and in again much more than Murali. Murali is usually always in there bowling due to taking both roles of stock and strike. That's why Murali has such a greater proportion of his team's overs and the reason why most of the settled batsmen are there because of him.
 

Migara

International Coach
Here for the mumble and jumble about taking top-order wickets. Vaas and McGrath are similar in taking wickets by position.


Position McGrath Vaas
1-3 40.0% 41.7%
4-7 34.8% 35.3%
8-11 25.2% 23.0%


McGrath

Vaas
 
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Ikki

Hall of Fame Member
Here for the mumble and jumble about taking top-order wickets. Vaas and McGrath are similar in taking wickets by position.


Position McGrath Vaas
1-3 40.0% 41.7%
4-7 34.8% 35.3%
8-11 25.2% 23.0%
But it doesn't say anything about the times where they don't take wickets. McGrath is a prolific wicket taker, whereas in comparison Vaas is not.

In 3 test matches, we can say:

Test match 1: McGrath takes 4 wickets (1-3:2; 4-7:1; 8-11:1) - Vaas takes 2 wickets (1-3:2)

Test match 2: McGrath takes 3 wickets (1-3:2; 4-7:1; 8-11:1) - Vaas takes 3 wickets (1-3:2; 8-11;1)

Test match 3: McGrath takes 4 wickets (1-3:2; 4-7:1; 8-11:1) - Vaas takes 3 wickets (1-3:2; 4-7:1)

See, proportionately they're taking the same rank of wickets, but how often is quite different.

This is due to 2 things:

1) Warne & McGrath (you can include their other support too) share the overs. In fact, Warne bowls only about 6-7 more overs per test than McGrath. Whereas Murali bowls 20 more overs per test than Vaas.

2) McGrath strikes much more well and consistently compared to Vaas - which is shown by their gap in SR.

So, to try and equate that what Vaas does what McGrath does well equally is a fallacy.
 
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Migara

International Coach
KaZoH0lic's arguments


#1 Warne bowled to more set batsman
Warne had support from fast bowlers. When he comes to bowling, there are few wickets down. Pressure is on and he is bowling to new batsman. When Murali comes it's usually one wicket down, and he's bowling to set openers. then there was less support from other end. Batsman can dig in from the other end.

#2 Because McGrath took wickets, Warne was forced to bowl at tail enders
If it is the case, why Murali takes more middle order wickets than Warne? Expanding this argument means that Murali have to bowl to a larger number of better batsman than Warne. Hence, Warne's SR, ER, Avg. should be lower because he's bowling to more tail enders

If #1 is correct it contradics #2!

#3 Murali is brought earlier than Warne in to the attack.
Yes, when? atleast after 13 overs. Why? fast bowlers are getting a pasting. What that means? They are set.
With what he has to bowl? A new ball that is not conducive to spin. But Murali still does better.

#4 Because Murali is bowling throughout momentum is with him
True. Let's see the negative side of it too. When your spinner is getting a whack, momentum is with batsman. To whom SL captain has to turn? No one. He has to use defensive fields and bowl Murali. What does that mean? Murali bowls to more set batsman.
When Warne is getting a hammering, captain can take him off and bring another bowler with still attacking fields in operation. What does that mean? Warne is taken off from bowling to the set batsman.
 
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Ikki

Hall of Fame Member
KaZoH0lic's arguments


#1 Warne bowled to more set batsman
Warne had support from fast bowlers. When he comes to bowling, there are few wickets down. Pressure is on and he is bowling to new batsman. When Murali comes it's usually one wicket down, and he's bowling to set openers. then there was less support from other end. Batsman can dig in from the other end.

#2 Because McGrath took wickets, Warne was forced to bowl at tail enders
If it is the case, why Murali takes more middle order wickets than Warne? Expanding this argument means that Murali have to bowl to a larger number of better batsman than Warne. Hence, Warne's SR, ER, Avg. should be lower because he's bowling to more tail enders

If #1 is correct it contradics #2!
Absolutely incorrect. They contradict because 1 and 2 cannot happen at the same time.

If McGrath is taking wickets then when Warne comes on to change he is facing newer batsmen. However, when this happens it automatically restricts Warne in taking upper-order batsmen as there aren't as many.

Whereas when it doesn't happen, and 2/3rds of his wickets coming from top/mid-order batsmen being a testament to that regularity, he is forced to face more settled batsmen.

#3 Murali is brought earlier than Warne in to the attack.
Yes, when? atleast after 13 overs. Why? fast bowlers are getting a pasting. What that means? They are set.
With what he has to bowl? A new ball that is not conducive to spin. But Murali still does better.
It doesn't mean they are set neither does it mean they get a pasting. Especially, Vaas who is very economical - even moreso at home. The fact is Murali bowls a lot regardless of his support bowling well or not. He will get more than his fair share of overs. Which also means that whether batsmen are settled or not it is more due to his own efforts than that of Vaas. He bowls 20 overs more per test, that is a staggering difference.

#4 Because Murali is bowling throughout momentum is with him
True. Let's see the negative side of it too. When your spinner is getting a whack, momentum is with batsman. To whom SL captain has to turn? No one. He has to use defensive fields and bowl Murali. What does that mean? Murali bowls to more set batsman.
As aforesaid, Vaas is more than adequate foil. He doesn't get anymore of a pasting, or as often, as even a McGrath (his economy is as good as Warne's). The fact is that he isn't a wicket-taking partner. This is really the major difference. Where Warne's partners are very good wicket-takers and keep good economy, Murali's don't take wickets but are good enough to keep the run-rate stable.

Also, as aforesaid (a few times) Murali bowls often double the amount of his nearest rival on the day. This fact alone illustrates that most of the 'settling' is done on the back of his own bowling. How can Murali be the reason they're not settling if he is the one bowling the most?

When Warne is getting a hammering, captain can take him off and bring another bowler with still attacking fields in operation. What does that mean? Warne is taken off from bowling to the set batsman.
That's the thing, Warne has rarely ever been taken off from bowling to set batsmen. He is our main answer to them and more often than not has succeeded. The important part being that the wickets (top/middle-order) he takes come usually when McGrath, Gillespie, Kasper and Lee are not taking those wickets. When Warne has been asked to bowl early he has invariably taken wickets. Take his last series in Sri Lanka and England as examples, when McGrath wasn't present for either.

But Murali bowls so early and continues to bowl regularly for the rest of the day. If any settling is done it is on the brunt of his own bowling.

Also, the fact that these are two bowlers of the highest quality means they're rarely bowling that bad and getting smashed throughout the day. The difference is that whilst there is this downside to bowling throughout the day, it is MORE than made up for considering the many many times that an all-time bowler like Murali will be bowling well and the momentum will be with him. The other side you bring is true, it just doesn't happen enough for either bowler. They're usually bowling very well, which means that in the moments they are bowling very well, the momentum factor goes against Warne as he is more often bowling very well than very poor (for him to be taken out of the attack).
 
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Migara

International Coach
Absolutely incorrect. 1 and 2 cannot happen at the same time.

If McGrath is taking wickets then when Warne comes on to change he is facing newer batsmen. However, when this happens it automatically restricts Warne in taking upper-order batsmen as there aren't as many.

Whereas when it doesn't happen, and 2/3rds of his wickets coming from top/mid-order batsmen being a testament to that regularity, he is forced to face more settled batsmen.
Precisely. #1 and #2 cannot happen together.
 

Ikki

Hall of Fame Member
Precisely. #1 and #2 cannot happen together.
I never said they were, I just showed you what would happen in both scenarios. One thing stops Warne from having such better Avg. and SR; another stops him from having a higher proportion of top/mid-order wickets. And again, If you factor out the things that inflate Murali's record his avg. and SR are about the same as Warne's (actually a bit worse).
 

Migara

International Coach
That's the thing, Warne has rarely ever been taken off from bowling to set batsmen. He is our main answer to them and more often than not has succeeded.
Wrong. When Aussies played India it was a regular thing, Warne getting hammered. And few Sri Lankans, Salim Malik, Lara, Hooper and Chris Cairns also have taken Warne apart. It's not a rarity when he plays sub continent teams. In these tours Austrilia relied heavily on pace bowlers to take wicket and Warne to bowl a restrictive line to keep the runs down.

On the otherhand when Murali is getting hammered (once again by Indians and some Aussies) SL captain has no other option to take wickets other than keep bowling him, which result in lot of runs scored off him.
 

Migara

International Coach
I never said they were, I just showed you what would happen in both scenarios. One thing stops Warne from having such better Avg. and SR; another stops him from having a higher proportion of top/mid-order wickets. And again, If you factor out the things that inflate Murali's record his avg. and SR are about the same as Warne's (actually a bit worse).
Bit of selective memory loss I think

Argument #1
KaZoH0lic said:
If McGrath is taking wickets then when Warne comes on to change he is facing newer batsmen.
Argument #2
KaZoH0lic said:
Yeah, that's the whole point: McGrath taking more upper order wickets means there are less to take for Warne and it is purely a matter of numbers that will inflate his proportion of tail-ender wickets. Not a real reliance on them.
Now what?
 
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