***Official*** Australia in India

[Prince EWS]

What no takers ? I thought I heard someone shout that Aussies will win 7-0. Come on put your money where your mouth is and the odds arethebest you would have ever accepted

I'm actually pretty tempted by that, even though I think the series will be close. The odds are great for anyone who has US$500 lying around.

 

[SJS]

I'm actually pretty tempted by that, even though I think the series will be close. The odds are great for anyone who has US$500 lying around.

I was going to make it minimun 1000 bucks first. I dont see any point in offering these odds without a lower limit for many people will come and put a buck or two. I want to test those who talk big and see if theyare willing to lose some serious mney OR win some fabulous amount

 

[Richard]

SJS, am I right in thinking you're serious here?

(BTW, you should remember that Mr Cribb won something like AU$10,000 on Ireland-Pakistan)

 

[Perm]

(BTW, you should remember that Mr Cribb won something like AU$10,000 on Ireland-Pakistan)

Wow.

 

[SJS]

SJS, am I right in thinking you're serious here?

(BTW, you should remember that Mr Cribb won something like AU$10,000 on Ireland-Pakistan)

Betting on one match and betting on seven is very very different.

 

[Prince EWS]

SJS, am I right in thinking you're serious here?

(BTW, you should remember that Mr Cribb won something like AU$10,000 on Ireland-Pakistan)

How did you know that, may I ask? I greatly under-exaggerated the figure when I actually posted about it (although the amount I won was still a little less than what you've said..).

 

[Prince EWS]

I was going to make it minimun 1000 bucks first. I dont see any point in offering these odds without a lower limit for many people will come and put a buck or two. I want to test those who talk big and see if theyare willing to lose some serious mney OR win some fabulous amount

You're more likely to attract the people who appreciate good odds than those you actually wanted, though.

I think the series will be close - so close, I haven't even decided who I think will win. But 100-1 is tempting TSTL.

 

[Richard]

How did you know that, may I ask? I greatly under-exaggerated the figure when I actually posted about it (although the amount I won was still a little less than what you've said..).

Think I recall you having something about it in your MSN.

Who knows, though - I don't definitively recall the actual figure, it could just be that I made a mistake that ended-up in me getting something right that I had no right to get right, if you take my meaning...

 

[SJS]

You're more likely to attract the people who appreciate good odds than those you actually wanted, though.

I think the series will be close - so close, I haven't even decided who I think will win. But 100-1 is tempting TSTL.

So is a chance to win $ 500 on India losing 6-1 or better

 

[Athlai]

Your saying that every 100 times this tournament is played, Australia only whitewash once?

If these teams were perfectly matched, to a 50 50 expected win loss ratio, the odds of an Australian whitewash would be 1 for every 128 times. (.78 out of 100)

If we say Australia 60 40... it becomes 7 in every 250 which is roughly 3 in 100.

Now a more likely 75 25 ratio (IMO) yields 13.3 from 100.

And a 90 10 ratio shows or 47.8 out of a 100.

A tempting bet if there ever was one, statistically speaking of course.

 

[NUFAN]

Wow who said maths was cool?

Australia are minus Ponting and Bracken and are playing away from home. Very low chance of winning all games..

 

[Athlai]

Wow who said maths was cool?

Australia are minus Ponting and Bracken and are playing away from home. Very low chance of winning all games..

13.3 - 3 /100 chance. Which is a low likelihood of happening.

 

[Perm]

Wow who said maths was cool?

Australia are minus Ponting and Bracken and are playing away from home. Very low chance of winning all games..

Not to mention Hussey, Watson and Tait.

 

[SJS]

Your saying that every 100 times this tournament is played, Australia only whitewash once?

If these teams were perfectly matched, to a 50 50 expected win loss ratio, the odds of an Australian whitewash would be 1 for every 128 times. (.78 out of 100)

If we say Australia 60 40... it becomes 7 in every 250 which is roughly 3 in 100.

Now a more likely 75 25 ratio (IMO) yields 13.3 from 100.

And a 90 10 ratio shows or 47.8 out of a 100.

A tempting bet if there ever was one, statistically speaking of course.

Remember we are not talking of ANY whitewash. Weare talking of a whitewash in a SEVEN match series.

Its very different even from a five match series. It wouldnt make that greata difference if a champion side were playing the minnows. Then 5-0 could very well be 7-0 too.

Australia are playing a pretty decent side and IN India.

Statistically the chances are very very very remote.

India were white washed in four of the first five odi series (till 1984-85) they played at home. In fact they won only one solitary match in all five series put together.

Since then India have NEVER been whitewashed in a series at home in 23 years and 63 series !!

In the last eight bilateral series at home (since October 2005) India havent LOST a series at home let alone being white washed.

 

[Athlai]

Remember we are not talking of ANY whitewash. Weare talking of a whitewash in a SEVEN match series.

Its very different even from a five match series. It wouldnt make that greata difference if a champion side were playing the minnows. Then 5-0 could very well be 7-0 too.

Australia are playing a pretty decent side and IN India.

Statistically the chances are very very very remote.

India were white washed in four of the first five odi series (till 1984-85) they played at home. In fact they won only one solitary match in all five series put together.

Since then India have NEVER been whitewashed in a series at home in 23 years and 63 series !!

In the last eight bilateral series at home (since October 2005) India havent LOST a series at home let alone being white washed.

Yep twas all calculated to a 7 match series, its almost certainly not going to happen but through statistics I was just checking the validity of your 1 in 100 bet, with Australia being favourites to win each match (at the moment) its slightly more likely than that, still unlikely though.

Just having fun with numbers buddeh.

 

[silentstriker]

The weather alone makes SJS's prospects pretty good. With that said, 100-1 are excellent odds, and I do think Australia would whitewash more than one out of a HUNDRED times the series were played. I mean those would be good odds for two good teams, let alone a great team and a mediocre team.

 

[Matt79]

So what's the deal if a game gets rained out? Should the bet be that the series ends up X-0, so long as say, 5 games are completed?

 

[Richard]

Think SJS is making his odds with many things, weather included, in mind.

 

[Speersy]

How many times has a series been whitewashed 7-0? ever?

 

[Richard]

I can't recall one, and there haven't been that many 7-match ODI series. It may have happened at some point, though - there may even have been one in my time that I don't remember.