• Welcome to the Cricket Web forums, one of the biggest forums in the world dedicated to cricket.

    You are currently viewing our boards as a guest which gives you limited access to view most discussions and access our other features. By joining our free community you will have access to post topics, respond to polls, upload content and access many other special features. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free so please, join the Cricket Web community today!

    If you have any problems with the registration process or your account login, please contact us.

The long tail conundrum...

Dazinho

School Boy/Girl Captain
Morning - hope we're good.

I was just looking at an interesting post about the SA ATG XI for limited overs cricket and picked up on a detail which would pose a selection headache, namely that the OP had Allan Donald batting at #9 in his team. Great bowler as AD certainly was there is no way in this lifetime or the next that he would be a credible #9 batsman in international cricket. Certainly not the worst #11 in the world and a #10 at an absolute push (indeed he batted there in front of the likes of Ntini etc) but it opens up an interesting conversation, particularly as Jacques Kallis was left out of the same side.

I can see the logic, namely that if we bowl well and restrict them to a low score and/or bowl them out then who we've got coming in at 7 wickets down is rendered something of an irrelevance. We 'shouldn't' be in the match situation where 7 wickets down becomes an issue.

When you look at the excellent West Indies sides of the 1980s into the early 90s one of the themes that emerges is that, of the regular bowlers, you could only really attribute Malcolm Marshall with any sort of genuine batting acumen. The likes of Garner, Ambrose, Holding, Walsh, Patterson et al were not up to a great deal with the bat, albeit to slightly varying degrees. It was a classic 'division of labour' case where the batters were backed to score runs and the bowlers entrusted with the specific task of bowling the opposition out.

Now that worked largely because of the quality of the personnel on both sides of the equation - the question of why this great side struggled to produce an all-rounder has come up and if we're honest it's a moot point because they didn't really need one.

So I suppose the question is...at what point do you consider 'tail length' as a factor before deciding who gets into your side and who doesn't?

Does the prospect of runs don the order provide a bit of security or is it something of an over-rated concept. In the event that you have elite level bowlers who contribute pretty much nothing with the bat it would be at least very tempting to play all three and back them to blast the opposition out. There's also a risk of not playing one of them, the lower order runs not materialising and looking somewhat foolish when it doesn't work out.

The flipside of that is the psychological effect that one side having a 'spider monkey' tail has on both teams. It creates added pressure for the recognised batsmen and, later on in the innings, conundrums about whether people need to be protected, farming the strike etc. Even in a decent position with 3 or 4 wickets down the fielding side can remain positive, knowing that they're a couple of wickets away from being right in business.

My all-time 'favourite' in this regard was the England 'lower order' against New Zealand in 1999, where 8-11 read Caddick, Mullally, Tufnell, Giddins. Now...you could possibly justify that were this an elite level bowling attack but it demonstrably wasn't. It makes me smile remembering that Graeme Swann was 12th man for that match and in many ways the likes of Cairns, Nash, Vettori giving the NZ lower order a much tougher look was a deciding factor in that series.

So it's really a question about what you consider before taking that risk - the quality of the bowlers involved, the strength of the opposition, Presumably fielding ability would come into it as well.

Thoughts appreciated as always - thanks.
 

Bolo.

International Captain
Having your best bowlers playing is a lot more important than who bats at no. 9 in an ODI. No. 9s barely bat in most ODI cricket and if they do it's not for long whereas a front line bowler will bowl 10 overs.

It's a no brainer IMO
You are definitely right, but it's worth noting that a decent lower order can make a difference even when not actually batting by allowing the bats to take more risks. We see this more often than a number 9 actually scoring runs.
 

Midwinter

State Captain
It has always been a mystery why some people think if the best 6 batsmen don't make any runs, the 9th best batsman will.

Pick the 6 best batmen, 4 best bowlers and the best wicketkeeper.
It is simple really.

Anything else is just kidding yourself that you won't lose by as much.

☺
 

ankitj

Hall of Fame Member
Pick bowlers for their bowling skills and batsmen for their batting skills. Sounds obvious but temptation to pick bowlers for their batting skills and batsmen for their bowling skills tends to be quite strong.
 

Spark

Global Moderator
It has always been a mystery why some people think if the best 6 batsmen don't make any runs, the 9th best batsman will.

Pick the 6 best batmen, 4 best bowlers and the best wicketkeeper.
It is simple really.

Anything else is just kidding yourself that you won't lose by as much.

☺
I don't know maybe because of the long long long long long list of Test matches which turned on a dime because some bowlers batted well.
 

Silver Silva

International Regular
It has always been a mystery why some people think if the best 6 batsmen don't make any runs, the 9th best batsman will.

Pick the 6 best batmen, 4 best bowlers and the best wicketkeeper.
It is simple really.

Anything else is just kidding yourself that you won't lose by as much.

☺
This is true, for Long form ...however white ball cricket there are many ways to skin the cat ..

Batting deep can be a great advantage, especially if you can still have 5 or 6 bowling options in limited overs cricket ..

England had a lot of success with this philosophy , South Africa themselves were known to use the batdeep strategy at their pomp in the 90's and early 2000's due to them being blessed with many all rounders..

Lance Klusener was probably the greatest No.8 in odi cricket , 1066 runs @ 58 from the position and that's where he mostly won games from ..I think an all time SA ODI XI should reflect their style ..I'd be having Klusener at No.8 with Pollock at No.9
 

TheJediBrah

Request Your Custom Title Now!
This is true, for Long form ...however white ball cricket there are many ways to skin the cat ..

Batting deep can be a great advantage, especially if you can still have 5 or 6 bowling options in limited overs cricket ..

England had a lot of success with this philosophy , South Africa themselves were known to use the batdeep strategy at their pomp in the 90's and early 2000's due to them being blessed with many all rounders..

Lance Klusener was probably the greatest No.8 in odi cricket , 1066 runs @ 58 from the position and that's where he mostly won games from ..I think an all time SA ODI XI should reflect their style ..I'd be having Klusener at No.8 with Pollock at No.9
It was more useful for SA in the 90s because the rest of their batting line-up wasn't that good, compared to a team with a super strong batting line-up. They had some very good players but Klusener at 8 (and sometimes Pollock too) were often better bats than a few of the guys batting ahead of them IIRC
 

TheJediBrah

Request Your Custom Title Now!
Just searched for fun and this is the first one I found:


Klusener at 8 and Pollock at 9, but the top 7 included Andrew Hall, Nicky Boje and Mark Boucher :blink:

I'm sure that's an extreme example but there were also regulars like Cullinan, Rhodes, Dippenaar etc that were passable but not exactly great ODI bats. Looks like having those guns, Klusener especially, batting so low was a tactic. Not always that they had a really "deep" batting line-up but more that it was weighted heavily at the bottom, if that makes sense
 

TheJediBrah

Request Your Custom Title Now!
I guess my point here is that that SA team isn't a great example of this topic because, while they were an exceptionally good team and it worked for them, having strong bats at 8 and 9 was relevant to that team because it was part of their tactics and it made up for shortcomings higher up the order.

In most teams your top 7 are going to be, and should be, your best batsmen and you're not likely to be relying on or planning on runs from 8 or 9 like 90s/00s South Africa were
 

Kenneth Viljoen

International Regular
I guess my point here is that that SA team isn't a great example of this topic because, while they were an exceptionally good team and it worked for them, having strong bats at 8 and 9 was relevant to that team because it was part of their tactics and it made up for shortcomings higher up the order.

In most teams your top 7 are going to be, and should be, your best batsmen and you're not likely to be relying on or planning on runs from 8 or 9 like 90s/00s South Africa were
Important to have a great batting depth as a security if you are able to , Australia had it in 03 when they won the WC with Brett Lee at 10 , England in 2019 , Starc and Cummins definitely capable bats in 2023 WC winning side..


West Indies would have never won the 2016 T20 World Cup if Carlos Braithwaite never hit his cameo , just a few examples of where it does pay off ..
 

TheJediBrah

Request Your Custom Title Now!
Important to have a great batting depth as a security if you are able to , Australia had it in 03 when they won the WC with Brett Lee at 10 , England in 2019 , Starc and Cummins definitely capable bats in 2023 WC winning side..
This really just reinforcing the point. Lee, Starc, Cummins were all picked because they were the best bowlers available, not for their batting. That was incidental.
 

Spikey

Request Your Custom Title Now!
in a test XI, I would absolutely 100% be uncomfortable with Donald at 9. Whether I would swap him out would depend on the batting and bowling merits of whoever would be coming into that 9 spot, but totally fair to consider the tail length in a test team

In ODI and T20 cricket, I don't think it should be considered at all. Which probably isn't a surprise to the people who have seen my posts about the Aus OD team over the years. A quick look at statsguru for the aggregate batting performances of the number 9 batter in the 1st innings of an ODI game where the result was won/lost/tied (so excluding No result to try to remove rained out games) is:

1705384393908.png

so that's 25% of the time where the number 9 hasn't even got out there for a hit, let alone the times the number 9 got out there in over 49 or something. whereas it can be assumed that the number 9 is expected to deliver 7 to 10 overs of quality bowling every single match. just not worth considering in ODIs imo.
 

Spikey

Request Your Custom Title Now!
never 4get that australia dumped stoinis from it's OD team for a batter and stormed to a famous World Cup victory
 

Kenneth Viljoen

International Regular
This really just reinforcing the point. Lee, Starc, Cummins were all picked because they were the best bowlers available, not for their batting. That was incidental.
Comes as a package, Australia does place emphasis on their bowlers being able to bat atleast from 8 & 9 , Where would Australia be in 2003 if Bichel didn't play a blunder in one of the games ..

2015 , Faulkner was playing the Klusener mode ..They had way more talented bowlers than Faulkner but understood the importance of balance ..

2017 Pakistan won the Champions Trophy with Shadab Khan and Hasan Ali at 8 and 9 .

If your bowlers can bat it is a great luxury to have in white ball cricket
 

TheJediBrah

Request Your Custom Title Now!
Comes as a package, Australia does place emphasis on their bowlers being able to bat atleast from 8 & 9 , Where would Australia be in 2003 if Bichel didn't play a blunder in one of the games ..

2015 , Faulkner was playing the Klusener mode ..They had way more talented bowlers than Faulkner but understood the importance of balance ..

2017 Pakistan won the Champions Trophy with Shadab Khan and Hasan Ali at 8 and 9 .

If your bowlers can bat it is a great luxury to have in white ball cricket
Yes but that's not the question. The point is you're not going to choose worse bowlers to bat 9 because they can bat better
 

honestbharani

Whatever it takes!!!
I dont think its that confusing when its a clearly better bowler or batter in discussion. But if its roughly equivalent levels, the other skills become just as important. Also, I am ok with having 3 bowlers who cant bat. But when your #8 is also a bunny, its definitely an issue in any of the 3 formats.
 

Top