WTC 2025 Final : Qualifying scenario

[Coronis]

It's been stated many places that England and Pakistan are already out and it's down to 5 teams

Well those places are dumb or the predictor is wrong.

 

[Coronis]

Simple scenario for Pakistan to make it (assuming nobody gets any over rate penalties)

India 3 def Australia 1
West Indies vs Bangladesh who cares
England 2 def New Zealand 1
South Africa 1 def Sri Lanka 0
Pakistan 2 def South Africa 0
Pakistan 2 def West Indies 0
Sri Lanka 1 def Australia 0

 

[Coronis]

Simple scenario for Pakistan to make it (assuming nobody gets any over rate penalties)

India 3 def Australia 1
West Indies vs Bangladesh who cares
England 2 def New Zealand 1
South Africa 1 def Sri Lanka 0
Pakistan 2 def South Africa 0
Pakistan 2 def West Indies 0
Sri Lanka 1 def Australia 0

And one for England
India 4 def Australia 0
West Indies vs Bangladesh who cares
England 3 def New Zealand 0
South Africa 1 def Sri Lanka 0
Pakistan 2 def South Africa 0
Pakistan 1 draw West Indies 1
Sri Lanka 1 draw Australia 1

 

[Coronis]

Okay had another look. England is definitely out but while still slightly possible Pakistan need to win all 4 remaining tests vs South Africa and West Indies plus have this happen:

Cricinfo: "Sri Lanka lose 0-1 in South Africa, and draw 1-1 against Australia; India lose 1-2 in Australia; and New Zealand lose 1-2 against England, then Pakistan's 52.38% will be enough for a second place behind Australia."

Pretty unlikely given India are already 1-0 up vs Australia

I just posted a couple of the other scenarios in the thread. Like I said they’re unlikely and all results will have to fall their way but they can still possibly make it.

 

[Sunil1z]

New Qualifying scenario after India’s 0-3 loss to NZ ( Draw hasn’t been considered, from Twitter)