Compton
International Debutant
Because Root is better, and 2 years younger.
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30 Test hundreds
- Thread starter Daemon
- Start date
Gob
International Coach
That's sort of irrelevant
Victor Ian
International Coach
thanks thanks
Gob
International Coach
he will make 30 tons for sure
flibbertyjibber
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I don't think anyone would be surprised if Williamson didn't reach 30 tons mainly because NZ play fewer games than England, Australia and India. I would imagine one of Root, Smith and Kohli will fail to get there but not predicting who as when you have a bunch of 3 or 4 great players one usually gets worn down by the amount of cricket or just gets injuries and falls away.
mr_mister
Cricket Web: All-Time Legend
Sachin Lara S Waugh
Dravid Kallis Chanderpaul Hayden Ponting
Sanga Mahela Younis Sehwag
all got there!
flibbertyjibber
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Yeah but he only needs to lose a bit of form and then has that year when NZ play less than 6 games and he is 2 years older and only has one or two more tons. Not saying it will definitely happen but not impossible.
We don't know what the captaincy will do to his batting either.
Howe_zat
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Clarke and G Smith are two great examples of how the century count can suddenly just stop. You can't just assume run scoring will carry merrily on through someone's thirties. Tendulkar, Kallis Sangakkara and Dravid were the weirdos, not the norm, even amonst the world's top batsmen.
flibbertyjibber
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Clarke, Smith and Pietersen didn't.
Furball
Evil Scotsman
Pietersen still needs 7 and had he not been booted when he was may well have been dropped (wasn't exactly in amazing form anyway) and would be 35 now amyway.
flibbertyjibber
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Who is to say any one of the new big 4 isn't going to retire early though. Might be Root with his back for all we know.
Jono
Virat Kohli (c)
Yep. Its amazing how people think this though.
Furball
Evil Scotsman
In fact Pietersen is a great example of how difficult predicting this sort of thing can be because IIRC he came out of the India series 5 years ago with 19 Test tons to his name in a career that had been 6 years to that point. Off the top of my head in his last 3 years he scored 4 tons - his incredible 3 in 2012 plus one final ton at Old Trafford in the 2013 Ashes to end up on 23. In 2011 nobody would have predicted the way his career ended up.
Sure, Williamson is an excellent player but he's also come off a recent(ish) patch of form which is both well above the mean and was in an 18 month to 2 year period where New Zealand played quite a lot of Test cricket. There's no guarantee he'll just immediately hit the heights of 2014 again straight away.
Sure, Williamson is an excellent player but he's also come off a recent(ish) patch of form which is both well above the mean and was in an 18 month to 2 year period where New Zealand played quite a lot of Test cricket. There's no guarantee he'll just immediately hit the heights of 2014 again straight away.
Furball
Evil Scotsman
Same thing happens in prediction threads where people (usually morgie) confidently predict that the next bright young thing is a certainty to score x thousand runs/take x hundred wickets without giving any thought as to how difficult a task that is.