I think the AB's will win, but I don't think it'll be a 20 point drubbing. This year's All Blacks isn't the unbeatable All Blacks of year's gone by, the names are the same for the most part (Smith's, Carter, Read, McCaw et al, but the pace and precision isn't quite there. All Blacks by 10 or less - or the Wallabies by 2 with a Nic White Penalty goal from halfway.
We are getting Nonu back. He is worth 7 points alone. If our proper locks start the game then that is also worth another 7 points. Our two starters are world class, but our locks off the bench aren't so great, would probably have Thrush as 3rd choice at least he is competent even if he is not a force.
Also we have home town advantage. ABs by 20. I don't even think Australia will enter the game genuinely believing they can win.
I can't even remember the last game we lost to anyone in New Zealand. Probably SA in Hamilton in 2009 or so. That is a long time.
If we really really wanted to win this game then we would resort to thuggery. Luckily for Australia we don't care that much as our sights are set on the world cup and we don't want to lose anyone to a suspension. In days of yore however I would think we would have taken out Pocock as he was basically the difference between both sides.
"Taking out" by the way doesn't need to be a blunt Richard Loe approach of breaking his nose. We have other methods.
1) A hard punch to the ribs at the bottom of the ruck will learn him not to go into dark places too often. If he doesn't learn the first time repeat as necessary.
2) Come close to breaking his fingers when he tries to wrap up his hands around the ball. This is a legit tactic and was taught to me at rugby training and we practiced it on each other.
3) Finally the politically correct answer - is to nullify him. This is a combination of us meeting with the referee before the game (as we are allowed to) and asking strategic questions about how the law will be administered that guide the referee into making decisions on the night that ping Pocock off the field. Nullifying him also means plain clearing him out. Someone like Kaino gets asked to do the business and just nullify him at the breakdown physically. Target him and don't let him compete.