I'd tend to go with Chelsea too. Mourinho factor is huge, he's just miles ahead of everyone else in tactics and man management, plus he has no scruples, always an advantage.
Citeh are a bit of a wildcard, they've gone through a huge overhaul very quickly. They have a great squad but I'll still be really impressed if Pellegrini manages to bring it all together in his first season. There's a lot that can go wrong.
United will surely go backwards, they've gone from having the best manager in the top four to having the worst. They have a bit of wiggle room though and I still expect them to be challenging for the title. Their squad lacks a bit of glamour but it's better than people think.
Fourth I'm finding impossible to call because there's so much transfer business left to be decided. Arsenal's squad is starting to look really thin, Spurs will probably lose a player they were massively reliant on last season. If Liverpool keep Suarez (which looks likely) they should see a big improvement on last season, but they're starting from a fair way behind. It'll become clearer in a few weeks but for now I'll go: if Bale stays, Spurs, if Bale leaves and Arsenal sign a couple of reinforcements, Arsenal. If Bale leaves, Arsenal don't reinforce and Suarez stays at Liverpool, I reckon they'll get it.
