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*Official* First Test at Swalec Stadium, Cardiff

Dissector

International Debutant
These boundaries are quite useful. If England can get a lead of 20 or so that will knock off two overs in addition to the mandatory two after the innings chase. I would say that England has a 25% chance of drawing here and it climbs by about 5% every over these two stay together.

Edit: And just as I write this the crucial breakthrough!!
 

roseboy64

Cricket Web Content Updater
These boundaries are quite useful. If England can get a lead of 20 or so that will knock off two overs in addition to the mandatory two after the innings chase. I would say that England has a 25% chance of drawing here and it climbs by about 5% every over these two stay together.
:blink:
 

Prince EWS

Global Moderator
These boundaries are quite useful. If England can get a lead of 20 or so that will knock off two overs in addition to the mandatory two after the innings chase. I would say that England has a 25% chance of drawing here and it climbs by about 5% every over these two stay together.

Edit: And just as I write this the crucial breakthrough!!
England had a much higher chance than 25% before that wicket fell, TBH. They still do really. Before that wicket, bet365 had the draw at 1.50 favourites. Australia favourites now IMO but only very slightly. Still wouldn't surprise me at all if this was a draw - it's not the long shot people are making out.
 

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