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Bowling Strikerates in test matches - how important are they?

Richard

Cricket Web Staff Member
It's not hard to figure out logically by any stretch of the imagination. If you take a wicket every X balls, the figure you need to calculate the average is runs conceded per ball balled (or ER / 6).

Average = SR * (ER / 6)
I thought it was presumably pretty straightforward; just couldn't be arsed making the effort to work it out myself. :p

I'm like that with statistical functions - when someone explains them to me, I can memorise and use 'em easily, but I have to think long and hard to work them out.
 

bagapath

International Captain
I'd give Waqar the new-ball with Imran any time. Wasim never used it that much, he preferred to bowl short and only pitched it up once it got old and was reverse-swinging;

Imran and Waqar were both brilliant utilisers of the new-ball.
not true at all. dont know where you got that idea from. out of 181 bowling innings in the 104 tests akram played in, he took the new ball 177 times. imran 131 out of 142 innings and waqar 141 out of 154 innings. also, waqar is the third after akram and imran in terms of wickets taken while opening the attack. he has taken 12 wickets less than imran in 11 more innings. if someone was an old ball - reverse swing specialist it was, waqar. wasim and imran are more suited to take the new ball.

Wasim Akram 1985-2002 102 177 22183 9611 402 7/119 11/110 23.90 2.59 55.1 23 4
Imran Khan 1971-1990 74 131 17902 7602 347 8/58 14/116 21.90 2.54 51.5 23 6
Waqar Younis 1989-2003 82 141 14951 8093 339 7/76 13/135 23.87 3.24 44.1 18 5

let me reiterate the fact that imran and wasim are bonafide legends. waqar is not. his lack of accuracy is the reason.
 
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subshakerz

International Coach
here are four bowlers with hardly any difference in their bowling averages. two of them have sub 45 SR but 3+ ER (waqar and steyn) . The other two concede less than three runs per over but need 50, 52 balls to take a wicket (lillee and holding).

in my book, lillee and holding are the two best bowlers out of the four. will you say waqar and steyn were/are better than those two?
Code:
Waqar Younis (Pak) 		87 	154 	16224 	8788 	373 	7/76 	13/135 	23.56 	3.25 	43.4 	22 	5
MA Holding (WI) 		60 	113 	12680 	5898 	249 	8/92 	14/149 	23.68 	2.79 	50.9 	13 	2 
DW Steyn (SA) 			33 	62 	6676 	4029 	170 	6/49 	10/91 	23.70 	3.62 	39.2 	11 	3 	
DK Lillee (Aus) 		70 	132 	18467 	8493 	355 	7/83 	11/123 	23.92 	2.75 	52.0 	23 	7
Well, yes, I would agree with the fact that Holding and Lillee are better, but in these cases the overall stats are misleading.

For Waqar, the reason he cannot be favorably compared with Lillee and Holding is that he didn't really achieve his incredible success against all the best batting lineups. His averages against India, Australia, South Africa, and England were 48, 33, 28, and 27 respectively, not terribly impressive. The only good batting lineup he did well against was the West Indies. If you take out his stats against minnows, his record (including strikerate) is not nearly as flashy. If he had achieved consistent success against all of the countries he faced, and had that overall average and strikerate to boot, I wouldn't hesitate to consider him better than Lillee and Holding and possibly the most devastating fast bowler of all time even with the bad ER, simply because he maintained an unbelievable strikerate over his career without letting it affect his average too much as happened in the cases of Gough and Brett Lee. As it is right now, the average/strikerate combo alone is misleading.

For Steyn, the fact is he hasn't played enough tests. But if plays 100 tests, maintains his current average and amazing strikerate, with a fifer around every three or so matches and success against every opponent as he has done so far, it would be hard not to compare him to Holding and Lillee based on record alone.
 
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bagapath

International Captain
Well, yes, I would agree with the fact that Holding and Lillee are better, but in these cases the overall stats are misleading.

For Waqar, the reason he cannot be favorably compared with Lillee and Holding is that he didn't really achieve his incredible success against all the best batting lineups. His averages against India, Australia, South Africa, and England were 48, 33, 28, and 27 respectively, not terribly impressive. The only good batting lineup he did well against was the West Indies. If you take out his stats against minnows, his record (including strikerate) is not nearly as flashy. If he had achieved consistent success against all of the countries he faced, and had that overall average and strikerate to boot, I wouldn't hesitate to consider him better than Lillee and Holding and possibly the most devastating fast bowler of all time even with the bad ER, simply because he maintained an unbelievable strikerate over his career without letting it affect his average too much as happened in the cases of Gough and Brett Lee. As it is right now, the average/strikerate combo alone is misleading.

For Steyn, the fact is he hasn't played enough tests. But if plays 100 tests, maintains his current average and amazing strikerate, with a fifer around every three or so matches and success against every opponent as he has done so far, it would be hard not to compare him to Holding and Lillee based on record alone.

very fair assessment. and i agree with your points.

my take is this; if you think it is okay for a fast bowler to average 4 RPO then he will have to have a strike rate of 36 in order to average under 25. there is no bowler in the modern era who has acheived that.

even if his ER is 3, he will still be required to take a wicket every 48 balls to achieve the magical sub 25 bowling average. we know only donald, marshall, steyn, waqar and akhthar have that kind of a strike rate in post world war cricket. among them marshall and donald also conceded less than 3 runs an over, putting them in a different league altogether giving them the lowest averages in the group. akhthar is not an all time great; also he concedes more than 25 runs per wicket. for reasons given above by you waqar is not a great either. and, as you've said again, based on steyn's present record it is still too early to bestow him greatness. so there is no great bowler in the history of the game who has conceded more than 3 runs per over and attained greatness at the same time.

i am saying these two elements are connected. great bowlers are also economical.
 
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Richard

Cricket Web Staff Member
not true at all. dont know where you got that idea from. out of 181 bowling innings in the 104 tests akram played in, he took the new ball 177 times. imran 131 out of 142 innings and waqar 141 out of 154 innings.
By "Wasim didn't use the new-ball" I mean "he did not make use of it", not "he did not take it". When Wasim bowled with the new-ball, he mostly bowled short, trying to rough the ball (and batsman) up as quickly as possible so as to attain reverse-swing. Waqar, on the other hand, pitched it up as he did the old ball and swung it no less than he did the old ball.

Wasim did not all that often pitch the new-ball up and swing it, which is what the general "use" of the new-ball is. He was, however, quite capable of doing so, he just didn't anywhere near as often as Waqar did.
also, waqar is the third after akram and imran in terms of wickets taken while opening the attack. he has taken 12 wickets less than imran in 11 more innings. if someone was an old ball - reverse swing specialist it was, waqar. wasim and imran are more suited to take the new ball.

Wasim Akram 1985-2002 102 177 22183 9611 402 7/119 11/110 23.90 2.59 55.1 23 4
Imran Khan 1971-1990 74 131 17902 7602 347 8/58 14/116 21.90 2.54 51.5 23 6
Waqar Younis 1989-2003 82 141 14951 8093 339 7/76 13/135 23.87 3.24 44.1 18 5
Where on Earth are you getting these stats from? There are no stats which show figures in new-ball spell, are there? Not pre-CricInfo-BBB.

There is no way on Earth we can tell which of Imran, Wasim and Waqar was most effective with new-ball. I presume the above stats are just for when they opened the bowling, which obviously tells us nothing - all bowlers bowl multiple spells in a Test innings.
let me reiterate the fact that imran and wasim are bonafide legends. waqar is not. his lack of accuracy is the reason.
No, the reason Waqar is not a bonafide legend is because of his lack of longevity and that his two periods of success (the first phenomenal, the second very good) saw him play 1 Test against Australia and 0 against India. And when he did play these two teams, outside his periods of success, he did poorly against them, as he did against other opposition at that time.

Had Waqar continued to bowl as he did 1990/91-1994/95 (where he averaged under 18), he would be the greatest seam-bowler in history. Even though he conceded a high economy-rate in that time. But he did not. And he was unfortunate that Pakistan did not play India at all between 1989/90 and 1998/99, as had he smashed Indian stumps and toes, his legacy would be all that much stronger.
 

bagapath

International Captain
Wasim did not all that often pitch the new-ball up and swing it, which is what the general "use" of the new-ball is. He was, however, quite capable of doing so, he just didn't anywhere near as often as Waqar did.
well, you cant prove this. and i cant disprove it. all i can get from statsguru is how often a bowler takes the new ball. actually it doesnt matter if akram roughed up the ball or not. he was the first choice in almost all the tests he played in to take the new ball. if imran and akram were available for selection they would any day any time of the year get to bowl before waqar. that was my point.

leaving aside waqar, since you've admitted he is not a great though for different reasons from mine, why dont you write down your personal list of top 10 bowlers since WW2? lets see how many of them have an ER over 3.

i can tell you no one in my top 10 concedes more than 3 runs an over. i didnt arrive at the list using that stat. the list happened first.
 
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Richard

Cricket Web Staff Member
well, you cant prove this. and i cant disprove it. all i can get from statsguru is how often a bowler takes the new ball. actually it doesnt matter if akram roughed up the ball or not. he was the first choice in almost all the tests he played in to take the new ball. if imran and akram were available for selection they would any day any time of the year get to bowl before waqar. that was my point.
If I was in charge, they wouldn't. Imran and Waqar would take the new-ball, Wasim would be first-change. There was, however, no point where all three played and bowled well together (Imran's last-hurrah came in 1988/89, Waqar's first in 1990/91) so we'll never know what others would've done.

I cannot, obviously, provide proof on here, because you'd need detailed ball-by-ball descriptions or ball-by-ball footage, but I watched Wasim bowl a hell of a lot, and I'm sure you did too. Do you seriously recall him attempting to pitch the new-ball up and swing it - as Waqar virtually always did - as regularly as he pitched short with it? If so I'm surprised. I only ever recall Wasim bowling full regularly with the old ball.
leaving aside waqar, since you've admitted he is not a great though for different reasons from mine, why dont you write down your personal list of top 10 bowlers since WW2? lets see how many of them have an ER over 3.

i can tell you no one in my top 10 concedes more than 3 runs an over. i didnt arrive at the list using that stat. the list happened first.
I don't disagree with you that almost all the best bowlers have had economy-rates below 3-an-over. However, it isn't completely impossible for a bowler to be outstanding for a long period of time (though maybe not for the 7-8 years that's required for a "proper career" in my book) while conceding runs in excess of 3-an-over. It is very unlikely, however. Precious few have ever done it.

(FTR I'd probably go for something like... Marshall, Hadlee, Donald, Imran Khan, Ambrose, McGrath, Trueman, Lindwall, Lillee, Holding [or maybe Garner]. Not neccessarily in that order - you could easily have the eight names in the middle in almost any order. But that'd be the ten I'd pick, post-WW2 or 1900-1939).
 

bagapath

International Captain
I have to admit we (Indians) missed playing Wasim at his peak between 89 and 95 in Test cricket. However the Akram of the 80s was real genuine swing (not just reverse swing) bowler. he is likely to have expanded his bagful of tricks later and become a slower bowler who relied on reverse swing. but i would always look at him as an opening bowler. cant think of too many opening batsmen who would fancy facing him.

anyways, my list of top 15 post war bowlers, including 3 spinners, is this.
their strike rates vary from 46 to 62 (46 to 60 for pacers). and their ER is under 3.

the order will keep changing from time to time. so dont hold me to it. but the names are pretty much fixed.

Marshall
Hadlee
McGrath
Warne
Ambrose
Murali
Imran
Lillee
Trueman
Donald
Holding
Akram
Lindwall
Laker
Davidson
=========================================================
garner, walsh, andy roberts, p.pollock, s.pollock, neil adcock, alec bedser, brian statham, h.tayfield and waqar younis are unlucky to miss out.
 
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Uppercut

Request Your Custom Title Now!
are you saying you prefer waqar to lillee? if yes, is it only based on SR? if not, why?
No, on the whole I'd take Lillee. Waqar had a few absolutely incredible spells where he was arguably as good as any bowler has ever been, but I'm going with Lillee's consistency, the fact that he lost a chunk of his career to Packer, and the fact that his inferior strike rate is to some extent offset by the general slower scoring in the era in which he played. There's also the fact that Lillee is generally more well-thought-of (something I do take into account but to a lesser extent than some) and, as ever, pure personal preference.

I'd take Marshall over Lillee though.
 

funnygirl

State Regular
. Do you seriously recall him attempting to pitch the new-ball up and swing it
-

Plenty of times India 87,89 series .1990 WI series .1994 Aus series,NZ series,95NZ series,95 Sl series,Aus(i have mentioned ) .Have u seen these series ? .It is true both Ws looked even more leathal with the old ball.Waqar wasn't as good as with the new ball as he was with the old ball except the fifth test against Englan in 1992 and the first test against WI in 1990 series and 2000 sl series(first test) .In 94 series against Australia,against Nz 94,he didn't look that good with the new ball .Infact looked plain at times too.In 1999 series against India,didn't look impressive with both the old and new ball.

Again both Ws looked amazing with the new ball and old ball eqaully good in Faisalabad test vs South Africa .I had that in my VHS,gosh u said Wasim won't use newball.Let me convert that video in VHS for u and see it urself.

Wasim,did produce unplayable spells with the newball, almost giving an impression wicket each ball in the mentined serieses.And again his career started as a newball bowler who can swing the ball.

And if u watch the 2000 series in pakistan vs England especially second test .He bowled so well with new ball using length and swing along with Razzaq and did so well,still unlucky considering the quality of the spell.

I know what u r trying to say.Waqar did more often than Wasim,may be against England i would say,generally Wasim used to bowl a lot short stuffs against England in 1996 and 2000 series in England with the new ball from what i remember.
 
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subshakerz

International Coach
I do not know where all this talk about Waqar as a better new ball bowler is coming from. Having watched both Ws in the 90s, Waqar clearly was a better old ball bowler, but Wasim was undeniably better with the new ball. Even he didn't take a wicket, batsmen found him too awkward a proposition to attack consistently, whereas Waqar had an equal chance of taking a wicket or being carted around. The fact that Wasim was equally dangerous with both old and new ball alike is one reason I consider him superior to Waqar, a bigger bag of tricks.
 

Richard

Cricket Web Staff Member
No, on the whole I'd take Lillee. Waqar had a few absolutely incredible spells where he was arguably as good as any bowler has ever been, but I'm going with Lillee's consistency, the fact that he lost a chunk of his career to Packer
This is a rather strange comment TBH. It was Lillee's fault he lost a chuck of his career. Packer didn't force him to play, he elected to put money over country. Given the relative paucity of pay at the time it wasn't an unreasonable choice he (and so many others) made. But he didn't lose it in the sense that he lost the chunk he lost to his spinal injury.
 

Richard

Cricket Web Staff Member
I do not know where all this talk about Waqar as a better new ball bowler is coming from. Having watched both Ws in the 90s, Waqar clearly was a better old ball bowler, but Wasim was undeniably better with the new ball. Even he didn't take a wicket, batsmen found him too awkward a proposition to attack consistently, whereas Waqar had an equal chance of taking a wicket or being carted around. The fact that Wasim was equally dangerous with both old and new ball alike is one reason I consider him superior to Waqar, a bigger bag of tricks.
I only ever watched the two of them against England, of course, but Waqar always attacked and looked for wickets with the new ball, Wasim generally preferred to try to bash the batsmen and intimidate. Of course bowling short and quick makes you exceptionally difficult to attack but it also massively reduces your chances of taking wickets compared to bowling fast and full. I virtually never saw Waqar bowl a sustained spell of short-pitched stuff all career - he always, always looked for wickets.
 

Richard

Cricket Web Staff Member
-

Plenty of times India 87,89 series .1990 WI series .1994 Aus series,NZ series,95NZ series,95 Sl series,Aus(i have mentioned ) .Have u seen these series ? .It is true both Ws looked even more leathal with the old ball.Waqar wasn't as good as with the new ball as he was with the old ball except the fifth test against Englan in 1992 and the first test against WI in 1990 series and 2000 sl series(first test) .In 94 series against Australia,against Nz 94,he didn't look that good with the new ball .Infact looked plain at times too.In 1999 series against India,didn't look impressive with both the old and new ball.

Again both Ws looked amazing with the new ball and old ball eqaully good in Faisalabad test vs South Africa .I had that in my VHS,gosh u said Wasim won't use newball.Let me convert that video in VHS for u and see it urself.

Wasim,did produce unplayable spells with the newball, almost giving an impression wicket each ball in the mentined serieses.And again his career started as a newball bowler who can swing the ball.

And if u watch the 2000 series in pakistan vs England especially second test .He bowled so well with new ball using length and swing along with Razzaq and did so well,still unlucky considering the quality of the spell.

I know what u r trying to say.Waqar did more often than Wasim,may be against England i would say,generally Wasim used to bowl a lot short stuffs against England in 1996 and 2000 series in England with the new ball from what i remember.
I missed precious little of the 2000/01 series and I barely remember Wasim pitching a single delivery up with new-ball. I don't remember the 1996 series anywhere near so clearly and the 1992 one less so still, but I've read plenty from Michael Atherton and what he's written seems to tally with what vague memories I do have, which again feature Wasim mostly pitching short with new ball and Waqar full. As I say, Waqar always bowled full, whenever I watched him, whatever the condition of the ball.

Fully prepared to accept it may have been different against other teams, nonetheless. Still, I'd always have Imran as the first new-ball bowler for a Pakistan All-time XI and Waqar second.
 

bagapath

International Captain
I do not know where all this talk about Waqar as a better new ball bowler is coming from. Having watched both Ws in the 90s, Waqar clearly was a better old ball bowler, but Wasim was undeniably better with the new ball. Even he didn't take a wicket, batsmen found him too awkward a proposition to attack consistently, whereas Waqar had an equal chance of taking a wicket or being carted around. The fact that Wasim was equally dangerous with both old and new ball alike is one reason I consider him superior to Waqar, a bigger bag of tricks.
this thread is about SR and my opinion is SR should be seen along with ER in judging a player's greatness. what you hve written is very similar to what I feel.
 

subshakerz

International Coach
I only ever watched the two of them against England, of course, but Waqar always attacked and looked for wickets with the new ball, Wasim generally preferred to try to bash the batsmen and intimidate. Of course bowling short and quick makes you exceptionally difficult to attack but it also massively reduces your chances of taking wickets compared to bowling fast and full. I virtually never saw Waqar bowl a sustained spell of short-pitched stuff all career - he always, always looked for wickets.
It's strange how you view bouncers as defensive bowling, it's an established way of attacking a batsman and a vital part of any bowler's arsenal. I have a different view of new ball bowlers. For me, a new ball bowler's job is to put the batsman under pressure immediately, keep him on the backfoot, choke his runs, and set the tempo for the rest of innings (and obviously, to take wickets in this process). Keeping a tight line is essential even if you are attacking. Bowlers like Wasim and McGrath excelled at that. If you tried to blast the batsman's wickets out like its the last 10 overs of a one day match, you run the risk of letting the swing get the better of you or being thrashed if the pitch is unresponsive, removing all pressure and letting the opener dictate terms.

Even with Waqar's matches against England, his success generally came with the old ball, the term 'toe crusher' came from those series.
 

subshakerz

International Coach
this thread is about SR and my opinion is SR should be seen along with ER in judging a player's greatness. what you hve written is very similar to what I feel.
Yes, Waqar's policy of constantly attacking the stumps is both literally and figuratively hit and miss. It works great against batsman who have just come to the wicket, but against settled batsman you can be worked out quickly as you will inevitably stray off the legs or be overpitched. This may be why his strikerate so impressive along with a high ER, he would likely go for a few runs every innings but would carve into the middle and lower order once the settled batsman is out. Though it should be pointed out that his SR against India, Australia, South Africa, and England is well above his career SR. It should also be pointed out that Waqar did develop into a more traditional new ball bowler later in his career when he lost his sting with the old ball.
 
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Richard

Cricket Web Staff Member
It's strange how you view bouncers as defensive bowling, it's an established way of attacking a batsman and a vital part of any bowler's arsenal.
I've always said that in my experience bowling short, sustainedly, is just about never a good idea. The odd short delivery is fine to mix things up, but more than one every couple of overs or so is just a waste of deliveries - good batsmen almost never get out to them (except on super-fast pitches like the old WACA, old Kensington Oval and old Kennington Oval) and even moderate ones only relatively rarely do.

There are times when wasting deliveries is fine, like when the ball isn't doing a lot and you're waiting for it to start doing some more. But when it's new and you should be looking to swing it, wasting deliveries by bowling short is very bad bowling.
I have a different view of new ball bowlers. For me, a new ball bowler's job is to put the batsman under pressure immediately, keep him on the backfoot, choke his runs, and set the tempo for the rest of innings (and obviously, to take wickets in this process).
As I say - for me, the new ball is useful because it swings (conventionally), properly, more than at any other stage in the innings. If you cannot swing or seam the ball, or choose not to, you have no right bowling with the new cherry IMO as you're wasting it while others could be doing what a new-ball bowler should be.
Keeping a tight line is essential even if you are attacking.
I don't disagree with this at all, defence and attack are not two polar-opposite things where bowling is concerned. A good line is essential to both. I'm talking purely about length.
Bowlers like Wasim and McGrath excelled at that. If you tried to blast the batsman's wickets out like its the last 10 overs of a one day match, you run the risk of letting the swing get the better of you or being thrashed if the pitch is unresponsive, removing all pressure and letting the opener dictate terms.
If the swing is getting the better of you, you've got options to reduce it (use a slightly different grip or wrist position) or to make more use of what swing there is (eg, use the crease, go wider and closer, aim for a slightly straighter or wider line). A good swing-bowler should always be happy to see the batsman (opener or otherwise) playing shots, as if the ball is swinging your chances as a batsman are always reduced the harder you go at the ball. In any case, swing isn't all about swinging it onto the stumps - you're aiming as much if not more for the edge of the bat.

As for the pitch, swing is irrelevant to that, because it takes the pitch out of the equation. Swing is all about the ball (with atmospherics also playing a part, though the best swingers can swing a good ball regardless of atmospherics).
Even with Waqar's matches against England, his success generally came with the old ball, the term 'toe crusher' came from those series.
He certainly had more success with old ball than new but he did try to use the new ball and succeeded on no shortage of occasions. I can't remember Wasim ever taking that many wickets in his opening spell because he rarely even seemed to try, he was just interested in bouncing the batsmen.
 

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